低纬高原山区暖冬年与冷冬年油菜品种稳定性和适应性对比分析

为有效评价并推荐丰产性、稳产性和适应性好的山地油菜品种在低纬高原山区推广应用,采用灰色关联度、AMMI模型和模糊聚类等分析方法,对玉溪市典型的暖冬年(2012年)与冷冬年(2015年)4个不同海拔试点的7个参试油菜品种进行稳定性和适应性对比分析。结果表明:(1)暖冬年和冷冬年主要气象因子与油菜产量的关联度有明显差异;(2)AMMI模型中暖冬年的基因、基因与环境互作两者方差分量均显著高于冷冬年,而环境方差分量则明显低于冷冬年;(3)基因型与环境间的互作对暖冬年与冷冬年的主要农艺性状影响存在较大差异。低纬高原山区应主推‘云花油早熟1号’、‘花油6号’、‘玉红油1号’和‘花油5号’等优质油菜品种。     

祁连山南麓高寒灌丛GPP变化特征及对生长季积温的响应

全球气候变化背景下气温逐渐升高,将会对陆地生态系统碳循环产生重要影响。研究利用2003?2016年的涡度相关系统观测资料,研究了祁连山南麓高寒灌丛生长季(5月?9月)总初级生产力(gross primary productivity,GPP)在不同时间尺度上对生长季有效积温(growing season degree days,GDD)的响应,对于研究气候变暖对高寒生态系统碳循环的影响有重要意义。结果表明:高寒灌丛生态系统在生长季的月GPP、GDD都表现为先增大后减小的单峰变化趋势,都在7月或8月达到峰值,在5月达到最小值。在整个生长季尺度上,GPP与GDD具有较高变异性,但整体上表现为逐渐增加的趋势(P<0.05)。2003?2016年整个生长季GPP与GDD的均值分别为507.11 g·m^?2和975.93℃。在月尺度和生长季尺度上,GPP与GDD都呈显著正相关关系(P<0.05)。但是,通过比较生长季每个月GPP与GDD的关系发现,5、9月的GPP与GDD没有显著相关性(P>0.05),而在7月相关性最为显著(P<0.01)。整体上看,高寒灌丛生态系统植被的总初级生产力与热量条件表现为正相关关系,由此说明在全球气候变暖的背景下,青藏高原高寒灌丛生态系统植被的光合生产能力将会提高。     

基于灰色关联法的小型农田水利工程建设项目绩效评价研究

运用灰色关联法原理,采用均方差法计算指标权重,根据近年来湖北省进行小型农田水利工程建设项目绩效评价的实际情况,建立了小型农田水利工程建设项目评价定性定量混合指标体系和模型,应用该模型和方法对湖北省2012年第二批20个小农水重点县工程建设项目进行了评价(作为研究,各县、市名以汉语拼音字头代替)。结果表明:LHK、SSS、ZJS、DJK、XTS等14个县为优秀,XCX、TMS、JSX等5个县为良好,CYX为一般,无及格等级的重点县。评价结果与实际基本相符。证明本文所提出的模型和方法可应用于实际,是一种快速便捷的评价工具。     

灰关联决策在水质面板数据处理中的扩展及应用

针对面板数据灰色关联决策分析评价问题,在经典灰色关联分析和灰色综合评价方法的基础上,构建面板数据灰色关联决策评价模型。将灰色关联决策方法扩展到面板数据分析中,解决了小样本面板数据的灰色评价分析问题。将这种方法应用于水环境面板数据质量评价中,经实例计算验证了面板数据灰色关联决策评价模型的稳定性、合理性和实用性,为水环境面板数据质量分析评价提供了可行的计算思路和方法。     

基于灰色系统理论的农村水利建设研究

水是农业发展的命脉,水利建设事关国家的粮食安全。近年来我国农村水利建设明显滞后并且存在一系列问题,但农业综合生产能力却逐年增加,农村水利是否正向作用于农业综合生产能力?基于灰色系统理论,测算出关联度系数,发现水利建设对粮食生产正向影响模式,农村水利建设对于农业综合生产力的提升以及新农村建设非常重要。我国应该科学合理安排水利投资,充分发挥其与农业发展的协同效应,以保障农民增收,实现农村的可持续发展。     

The distributions of Chinese yak breeds in response to climate change over the past 50 years

The effects of prior climate change on yak breed distributions are uncertain. Here, we measured changes in the distributions of 12 yak breeds over the past 50 years in China and examined whether the changes could be attributed to climate change. Long‐term records of yak breed distribution, grey relational analysis, fuzzy sets classification techniques and attribution methods were used. Over the past 50 years, the distributions of several yak breeds have changed in multiple directions, mainly shifting northward or westward, and most of these changes are related to the thermal index. Driven by climate change over the past years, the suitable range and the distribution centers of certain yak breeds have changed with fluctuation and have mainly shifted northward, eastward or southward. The consistency of observed versus predicted changes in distribution boundaries or distribution centers is higher for certain yak breeds. Changes in the eastern distribution boundary of two yak breeds over the past 50 years can be attributed to climate change.     

隔膜泵容积效率影响因素的灰色关联分析

分析了ＧＭ－１２０型单缸强制式隔膜泵容积效率的主要影响因素，用灰色关联分析的方法给出了这些影响因素的优势序列，为进一步改善隔膜泵的性能提供了依据。     

小麦新陈快速鉴别方法的研究

对小麦的新陈快速鉴别方法进行了研究。研究结果表明,愈创木酚法在小麦收获后的前两个月用于现场收购当年产的新麦,有较高的准确度;酸度指示法在一定程度上可以快速判断小麦的新鲜程度,适用于异地调运新麦。     

Effect of the Silicic Acid Polymerization Degree on the Coagulating Property of Polyalumium Silicate Chloride

Polyaluminum silicate is a new type of inorganic macromolecular flocculants, which is developed as a complex product in recent years on the base of polyalumium flocculant and polysilicic acid flocculant. Sodium silicate is diluted to the concentration of 3.0% SiO 2 with distilled water. The solution was adjusted to pH 4.5 with sulphate acid and kept at quiescency for different time to get polysilicic acid with different polymerization degrees. Using polysilicic acid prepared and aluminium chloride as materials, a series of polyaluminium silicate chlorides(PASC) with different basicities(B), Al/Si molar ratios and polymerization degree of silicic acid are prepared by copolymerization technique. The Al-Ferron timed complex colorimetric method is applied to characterize species distribution of PASC and to study its influence factors. The interaction between hydrolyzed aluminum species and polysilicic acid with different polymerization degrees in PASC is discussed.The flocculant prepared is applied to the treatment of commercial concrete wastewater. The turbidity removal of commercial concrete wastewater is up to 97% when a PASC, prepared with polysilicic acid of 145 min polymerization degree.     

Reasoning Method Based on Motorcycle Design

According to the needs of setting up a professional system based on motorcycle design,the CBR(case based reasoning) and RBR(rule based reasoning) methods are introduced.After discussing the difference between the two kinds of reasoning,a method of integrating them into the motorcycle design flow is put forward to realize the design reusable technology and improve the design efficiency,by using the CBR in the step of selecting the similar motorcycle and the RBR in project's modification according to correlative rules.