基于改进GM(1,N)模型的我国大豆价格影响因素分析及预测研究

大豆是我国重要的粮食作物和油料作物,其价格对于国民经济尤其是农业经济的影响意义深远。大豆价格的稳定对于我国大豆市场的健康发展有着重要的现实意义。在灰色理论的基础上,提出了一种改进GM(1,N)大豆价格预测模型,首先运用灰色关联分析法对我国大豆价格的影响因素进行分析,选择主要的影响因素;再将这些影响因素作为模型的相关因素变量,构建GM(1,N)大豆价格预测模型。采用2010-2015年的大豆数据进行实证研究,模型选取国内大豆自给量、世界大豆产量、国民消费价格指数、消费者信心指数4个变量作为相关因素变量;模型预测误差为2.10%,预测精度较高,能够较好地掌握大豆价格的变化规律,可以为大豆价格市场预测及国家宏观政策的制定提供理论指导。     

Mycoplasma pneumoniae induces IL-1β production through activating NLRP3 inflammasome by ROS in RAW264.7 cells

AIM: To investigate whether Mycoplasma pneumoniae (Mp)-induced interleukin-1β (IL-1β) production in RAW264.7 cells is through the activation of NLRP3 inflammasome via reactive oxygen species (ROS). ME-THODS: RAW264.7 cells were randomly divided into 3 groups. In normal group, RAW264.7 cells were treated without Mp. In model group, RAW264.7 cells were treated with 1∶ 10 multiplicity of infection (MOI) of Mp. In NAC group, RAW264.7 cells were pretreated with N- acetylcysteine (NAC) at a concentration of 5 mmol/L for 30 min before infection with Mp. The RAW264.7cells were infected with Mp (1∶ 10 MOI) for 4, 8, 16 and 24 h in model group and NAC group, respectively. The intracellular ROS level was analyzed by flow cytometry. The mRNA expressions of NLRP3, ASC and caspase-1 were detected by real-time PCR. The protein levels of NLRP3, ASC and caspase-1 p20 were determined by Western blot. The levels of pro-inflammatory cytokine IL-1β in the supernatant were measured by ELISA. RESULTS: Compared with normal group, the production of ROS were significantly increased at 4, 8, 16 and 24 h after infection, the mRNA expression of NLRP3, ASC and caspase-1 were increased at 8, 16 and 24 h after infection, the protein levels of NLRP3, ASC and caspase-1 p20 were increased at 16 and 24 h after infection, and the releases of IL-1β were increased at 24 h after infection in model group (P<0.01). Compared with the model group, the level of ROS in NAC group decreased, so as the expression of NLRP3, ASC and caspase-1 at mRNA and protein levels and the releases of IL-1β in the supernatant at the corresponding time points. CONCLUSION: Mp may stimulate the ROS production to activate NLRP3 inflammasome in RAW264.7 cells.     

浅议慕课及其对精品课程建设的启示

慕课(MOOC)在学习成本低、学习效率高、交互性强等方面受到了广大学习者的青睐,逐渐成为终身学习的一种渠道。精品课程建设是高校教育与教学改革工程必不可少的环节,精品课程建设第二期工程——精品资源共享课正在建设过程中。慕课运行方式对我国精品资源共享课建设具有一定借鉴意义。     

温度传感器在大功率采煤机摇臂故障诊断技术中的应用

为了减少大功率采煤机的故障率,在典型部件摇臂上安装了温度传感器,及时准确的获取摇臂温度信息,首先通过故障预警使采煤机故障达到防患于未然,然后通过故障信号简便的判断故障产生原因,大大的减少故障率和故障排查与维修时间。此方法结构简单,使用方便,对以后的推广奠定了一定的基础。     

紧压白茶品质安全性评价

为了探明紧压白茶饮用的安全性,以不同年份和花色的紧压白茶为原料,选用国家标准方法测定其主要的品质安全性指标,并进行分析和评价。结果表明:不同年份和花色的紧压白茶中未测出致病菌,其中1个样品检出霉菌;农药残留符合GB2763-2016食品中污染物限量要求;重金属检测中,铅含量0.229~0.819 mg/kg,砷含量0.071~0.205 mgkg,镉含量0.006~0.036 mg/kg,铬含量0.111~6.522 mg/kg,铜含量9.892~23.399 mg/kg,铝含量126.717~668.417 mg/kg,汞含量0~0.024 mg/kg,符合食品中污染物限量要求;理化检测中,水分含量4.6%~10.5%,灰分含量4.6%~5.7%,水浸出物含量30.2%~40.1%,茶梗含量0.8%~4.5%。由此可得出结论:紧压白茶的品质安全性可靠。     

High night-time temperature during flowering and pod filling affects flower opening,yield and seed fatty acid composition in canola

Winter canola (Brassica napus L.) is highly sensitive to increasing temperatures during the reproductive and pod-filling stages. Although the impact of high day-time temperature stress on yield and quality has been documented in canola, similar information under high night-time temperature (HNT) stress is not available. Using six hybrids and four open-pollinated cultivars, we observed a marked shift in peak flowering towards earlier, cooler hours of the morning under HNT. Averaged across two independent experiments, the photochemical efficiency of photosystem II was significantly decreased (3%), with a significant increase in thylakoid membrane damage (13%) in the leaves of susceptible cultivars under HNT stress. Similarly, the susceptible cultivars also recorded significant reduction in biomass (34%), pod number (22%), pod weight (37%) and total seed weight (40%) per plant while the same set of agronomic traits were not affected among the tolerant cultivars. Quantitative impact of heat stress was confirmed with increased sensitivity to HNT exposure from gametogenesis until maturity resulting in a significantly higher yield loss compared to stress exposure from post-flowering till maturity. HNT significantly decreased oil concentration, but increased protein concentration and saturated fatty acid levels in seeds of the susceptible cultivars. However, HNT had no impact on the unsaturated fatty acids in both hybrids and the open-pollinated cultivars. Breeding targets based on fatty acid composition for enhancing canola seed quality may not be easily amenable due to the inconsistency documented with the compositional changes under heat stress. In summary, our findings conclude that canola hybrids are better suited to regions experiencing heat stress, compared to open-pollinated cultivars, indicating the possibility of a complete shift to hybrid canola cultivation under predicted hotter climates in the future.     

不同裂解温度的污泥生物质炭理化特性分析

研究裂解温度对污泥生物质炭基础理化性质的影响,为安全、合理、高效处置污泥提供理论依据。将干燥污泥分别在200、300、500、700℃下进行热裂解处理(SBC200、SBC300、SBC500、SBC700),获得污泥生物质炭,测定其基础理化特性。结果表明：不同温度制备的污泥生物质炭表面颗粒结构完好,孔径范围均集中在10~50 μm,其中低温生物质炭SBC200表面较光滑,最可几孔径和中值孔径最大,分别为20.1 μm和14.8 μm,高温生物质炭SBC700表面较粗糙,比表面积最大,为5.98 m²/g。随裂解温度的提高,污泥生物质炭的产率、含水量、电导率、挥发分、阳离子交换量显著下降,全碳、氧、全氮、氢含量、有效磷和铵态氮均逐渐降低,pH和灰分含量显著增加。将污泥制备成生物质炭,是安全处置污泥的有效途径,低温制得的污泥生物质炭具有更大的提高土壤肥力的潜力,而高温制得的生物质炭在改良土壤酸性的应用上具有更大的潜力。     

广东省农地边际化特征及其影响因素的地理探测

为了明确经济发达地区广东省农地边际化现象及其主要影响因素。本研究采用“单位成本纯收益指标”、“农地利用集约度指标”和“农作物播种面积指标”三大主要指标,对广东省2000—2015年农地边际化特征进行提取。选择影响农地边际化特征的19个因子,利用地理探测器方法对农地边际化现象的核心影响因素进行挖掘。结果表明：2000—2015年广东省共发生3次比较明显的农地边际化现象,分别在2001—2002年、2005—2006年、2010—2013年,且第3次边际化持续时间最长,情况最严重。社会经济发展水平与结构指标和农户家庭资源要素结构变化指标对农地边际化的影响程度较大,其中第三产业产值比重、农村农户固定资产投资、粮食总播种面积对农地边际化现象有较强的解释力,q值分别为0.8067、0.8055、0.7916。任何两因子相互交互作用都能增强对农地边际化现象的解释力。     

高油酸花生品种开农1760产量及其构成的可视化分析

分析高油酸小粒花生品种开农1760的产量及其与农艺性状的关系,为高产优质育种提供有效指导。本研究以开农1760参加的2014-2015年河南省小粒花生区试数据为基础,运用GGE (genotype+genotype-by-environment interaction)双标图评价其丰产性和稳产性,利用R语言进行可视化的相关分析和通径分析。结果显示,开农1760的丰产稳产性综合排名第一,出米率的变异系数最小,饱果率与产量呈极显著正相关,百果重、单株生产力、百仁重、主茎高、侧枝长和结果枝数与产量呈显著正相关,结果枝数的直接通径系数最大,是影响开农1760荚果产量的关键性状。综上所述,开农1760丰产性好、稳定性强,适合在河南省大面积推广利用;在选育小粒花生新品种时可侧重做好对结果枝数的选择。     

不同吸附特性的稻草生物炭对稻田氨挥发和水稻产量的影响

秸秆生物炭具有改善土壤生态环境、土壤蓄水保肥和减少温室气体排放等正效应,但其石灰效应会加大稻田氨挥发损失。为充分发挥生物炭吸铵特性,降低其石灰效应的不利影响,对不同热解温度(300、500、700℃)和酸化水平(pH值=5、7、9)稻草生物炭处理下的田面水NH_4~+-N浓度、氨挥发和水稻产量进行了研究。结果表明:偏酸性(pH值=5)、中性(p H值=7)生物炭处理在基肥期和分蘖肥期均能显著降低田面水NH_4~+-N峰值浓度(P0.05),降幅达16.90%～35.60%。全生育期稻田氨挥发损失占施氮量的15.14%～26.05%(2019年)、15.10%～19.00%(2020年)。稻田增施热解温度为700℃、酸化水平为5(p H值=5)的生物炭(C700P5)降氨效果最好,两年氨挥发分别显著降低22.93%、12.61%(P0.05)。高温热解配合偏酸性、中性生物炭(C700P5、C700P7)增产效果显著,增产率达9.92%～13.50%,结构方程模型表明,其增产原因是生物炭酸化处理降低了稻草生物炭的石灰效应,而热解温度调整提高了生物炭阳离子交换量(CationExchange Capacity,CEC),进而降低了田面水NH_4~+-N浓度和氨挥发损失,最终提高了水稻地上部氮素积累和水稻产量。研究可揭示不同热解温度和酸化水平制备的生物炭在稻田中的应用潜力,并为稻田合理施用生物炭和减少化肥施用量提供理论依据。