中国土地沙漠化对大气CO_2含量的影响

本文根据我国不同地区沙漠化类型的面积、土壤有机碳的含量及沙漠化的正逆转速率，计算了我国沙漠化土地中有机碳的变动。结果表明，我国沙漠化土地０－５０ｃｍ土层中有机碳的，总贮量为７５３．１４３Ｍｔ，近４０年来因土地沙漠化而释放到大气中的ＣＯ２，总量达１７３．２８６Ｍｔ，而逆转过程中固定的ＣＯ２量为５９．１２４Ｍｔ碳，所以，近４０年来我国沙漠化土地净释放到大气中的ＣＯ２量为１２４．４７５Ｍｔ碳，占全球温带和寒带土地每年释放ＣＯ２量１３３Ｍｔ碳的９３．５％。     

Fire-induced changes in northern Patagonian landscapes

In northern Patagonia, Argentina we quantify changes in fire frequency along a gradient from mesic Nothofagus dombeyi forest to xeric woodlands of Austrocedrus chilensis at the steppe ecotone, and we examine patterns of vegetation change coincident with the changes in fire regimes across a range of spatial scales. At a regional scale changes in land cover types are documented by comparing 1:250000 scale cover type maps from 1913 and 1985. Changes in landscape structure are analyzed by comparing vegetation patterns on 1:24000 scale aerial photographs taken in 1940 and 1970. Fire frequency peaked in the late nineteenth-century due to widespread burning and clearing of forests by European settlers late in the century. Subsequently, fire frequency declined dramatically about 1910 due to the cessation of intentional fires and has remained low due to increasingly effective fire exclusion. At a regional scale there has been a dramatic increase during the twentieth century in the proportion of forest cover relative to areas mapped as recent burns or shrublands in 1913. Remnant forest patches that survived the widespread late-nineteenth century burning have coalesced to form more continuous forest covers, and formerly continuous areas of shrublands have become dissected by forest. Under reduced fire frequency there has been a shift in dominance from short-lived resprouting species (mostly shrubs) towards longer-lived species and obligate seed-dispersers such as Austrocedrus chilensis and Nothofagus dombeyi. Due to limited seed dispersal of these tree species, the spatial configuration of remnant forest patches plays a key role in subsequent changes in landscape pattern.     

浙江蚕区的变化及其发展趋势

本文根据《浙江省蚕桑生产区划》的蚕区划分,分析了各蚕区在浙江蚕桑生产持续发展、徘徊滑坡时的变化,及其变化的特点和原因;并分析了蚕区变化的趋势。     

Changes in anthropogenic impervious surfaces,precipitation and daily streamflow discharge: a historical perspective in a mid-atlantic subwatershed

Aerial photography provides a historical vehicle for determining long-term urban landscape change and, with concurrent daily streamflow and precipitation records, allows the historical relationship of anthropogenic impervious surfaces and streamflow to be explored. Anthropogenic impervious surface area in the upper Accotink Creek subwatershed (near Annandala, Virginia, USA) was mapped from six dates of rectified historical aerial photography ranging from 1949 to 1994. Results show that anthropogenic impervious surface area has grown from approximately 3% in 1949 to 33% in 1994. Coincident to this period, analysis of historical mean daily streamflow shows a statistically significant increase in the streamflow discharge response (per meter of precipitation) associated with normal and extreme daily precipitation levels. Significant changes were also observed in the frequency of daily streamflow discharge at given volumes above and below the historical daily mean. Simultaneously, the historical magnitude, frequency and pattern of precipitation values 0 mm, 6.0 mm and 35.0 mm show either no statistically significant change or influence on streamflow. Historical changes in streamflow in this basin appear to be related to increases in anthropogenic impervious surface cover. Historical aerial photography is a viable tool for revealing long-term landscape and ecosystem relationships, and allows landscape investigations to extend beyond the temporal and spatial constraints of historical satellite remote sensing data.This revised version was published online in May 2005 with corrections to the Cover Date.     

兴海县气候变化对畜牧业发展的影响及对策

本文通过对兴海县气温、降水等气象观测资料的分析,得出气候变化对畜牧业生产造成的影响,认为当前制约兴海县畜牧业可持续发展的主要因素是气候变化,并针对气候变化的制约条件提出了草地可持续发展对策。     

陕西省耕地面积变化趋势及其驱动因子研究

以实地调查和统计资料,分析了陕西省1949-2003年55 a间耕地面积变化的总体趋势.运用主成分分析方法定量分析了耕地面积变化的驱动因子,结果表明:社会-经济-科技综合作用、退耕还林等2大类因素是影响耕地面积变化的2个主成分.通过建立多元回归模型,对陕西省2010年和2015年的耕地面积进行了预测.研究结果将为合理利用和保护耕地,为干旱地区农业可持续发展提供科学依据.     

向海尖底泡沼泽沉积物磁化率特征及其环境意义

以吉林省向海自然保护区尖底泡沼泽湿地为研究对象,通过210Pb,137Cs建立高分辨率年代序列,并结合沉积物粒度指标,分析沉积物粒度与磁化率变化的相关性,对向海近几百年的环境变化进行探讨.结果表明:历史时期内陆沼泽沉积物频率磁化率反映的向海气候变化可划分3个阶段,并与粒度的分析结果基本一致.沼泽沉积物磁化率可以作为恢复历史时期环境变化的指标之一.     

宁夏大风日数气候变化及其对沙尘天气的影响

本文利用宁夏23个气象台站1961—2004年共44a的大风日数、沙尘暴日数、扬沙日数资料,统计分析了宁夏大风日数的空间分布和时间分布特征,结果表明:近44a来宁夏存在2个大风中心———北部的惠农和东部的麻黄山,西南部的隆德大风日数最少,春季是宁夏各站大风日数最多的季节;20世纪60、70年代是宁夏大风日数明显偏多期,80、90年代是偏少期,21世纪初期比20世纪80、90年代略有增加;大风日数气候倾向率16个站为负值,7个站为正值;大武口———石炭井一带、麻黄山、兴仁、泾源是大风日出现的沙尘暴次数占其沙尘暴出现总次数的百分率高值区,陶乐———盐池一带、中卫是低值区,且大风中心区与沙尘暴频发区不重合;惠农、麻黄山是大风日出现的扬沙次数占扬沙出现总次数的百分率高值区,陶乐、永宁、盐池、中卫是低值区;年平均大风日数、年大风日出现沙尘暴次数及扬沙次数均呈减少趋势,时间曲线变化趋势也相同。     

崇测冰帽冰芯记录与塔克拉玛干周缘观测的相逆降水趋势——兼论大气尘埃含量对高海拔山地冰川物质平衡的贡献

对钻自西昆仑山崇测冰帽6530m处18.7m长冰芯的分析得到:尘埃含量的变化影响着崇测冰帽钻点处的物质平衡———与其它气溶胶相比,沙尘微粒是冰帽钻点处降雪的主要贡献因子;以沙尘作为冰核的降雪是钻点处降水的主导形式。与塔克拉玛干沙漠周缘地区地面观测资料比较显示:近60a来的冰芯积累量所反映出的冰帽降水量在减少,同时显示塔克拉玛干沙漠周缘地区暖季降水量在增加,而沙尘恰是连接沙漠周缘地区和附近冰川区气候变化的中介。值得注意的是,本研究对于崇测冰帽冰芯中降雪积累率与尘埃沉降通量一致降低的发现具有区域范围,甚至全球范围气候变化的意义。     

Habitat loss, Fragmentation, and Alteration – Quantifying the Impactof Land-use Changes on a Spanish Dehesa Landscape by Use of Aerial Photography and GIS

Mediterranean agroforestry landscapes, dehesas, experience significant structural changes that affect their ability to support habitats for a rich biodiversity. The goal of this study is to provide quantitative information on loss, fragmentation, and alteration of holm oak (Quercus ilex) stands over a 42-year period, based on two sites in the lowlands of Cáceres province, Spain. Aerial photography and orthoimages from 1956, 1984, and 1998 were processed in a geographic information system (GIS). Important changes in demography and land-use were rural depopulation, abandonment of traditional agricultural activities, and a sharp increase in livestock stocking levels. These were related to intensification and extensification of land-uses determined by national and EU agricultural policies. Results of the land cover analysis indicated that dehesas suffered an annual 0.27% and 0.04% decrease in cover in the two sites. From 1984 loss rate had markedly accelerated (0.83% and 0.30%). Most dehesas were lost by shrub encroachment or conversion to open grassland. Fragmentation through roads increased by 28% and 45%, while rural buildings decreased by 17% and 50% from 1956 to 1998. Mean tree density decreased from 1956 to 1984, but a recovery was found since 1984. Significant factors determining stand densities in most time points were altitude (related with different land-uses and geological substrates), ownership, and proximity to villages. This suggests that stand structure is controlled both by human interventions and ecological settings. The findings support the view that opposite trends of land abandonment and intensification of land-uses arise in most northern Mediterranean countries as an effect of the EU Common Agricultural Policy.