农业灌溉用水价格改革探讨

目前我国农业用水存在诸多问题，水资源供需矛盾十分突出。为此，通过我国水价变革情况、水价实施种类的分析，提出了农业灌溉用水价格调整的原则，以促进水资源的可持续开发和利用。     

黑龙江省农业经济增长方式转变的实证分析

在分析农业经济增长理论的基础上，运用算术指数法得到黑龙江省农业的全要素生产率。依据全要素生产率对黑龙江省农业改革以来的增长方式做了定量描述，从实证分析的角度，考察各种要素投入的增长及其对农业经济增长的贡献，衡量改革以来科技进步在黑龙江省农业生产中的状况和作用，进而描述黑龙江省农业经济增长方式的演进过程，为黑龙江省确定今后加快实现农业经济增长方式转变的政策和战略提供参考依据。     

组织农机跨区作业促进农村经济发展

从安徽省阜阳市农机跨区作业实践出发,指出农机跨区作业在促进农村经济发展中的作用,农机管理部门应努力做好信息服务、组织调度、加大监理力度等方面工作,将农机跨区作业培育成增加农民收入的一个重要途径,成为促进农村经济发展的强大动力。     

Bio-economic evaluation of farmers’ perceptions of viable farms in western Kenya

Arable land in western Kenya is under considerable pressure from increasing human population. Rural households depend on farming for at least part of their livelihood, and poverty rates are among the highest in Kenya. Land is often depleted of nutrients, and for most farmers, access to inputs and markets is poor. There is a need to identify options that are manageable within the context of the farmer’s resource base and the household’s objectives that could improve farm household well-being. In this study we integrated qualitative informal participatory approaches with quantitative mathematical programming and biophysical simulation modelling. Households in four sub-locations in Vihiga District were clustered and pilot cases identified. Meetings were held with farmers to elicit their perceptions of what their ideal farm would look like, and how its performance might compare with their own farm’s performance. With farmers’ help, a range of scenarios was analysed, relating to changes in current enterprise mixes, changes in current farm sizes, and changes in prices of staples foods and cash crops. A considerable mismatch was found between farmers’ estimates of their own farm’s performance, and what was actually produced. There seems to be a threshold in farm size of 0.4 ha, below which it is very difficult for households to satisfy their income and food security objectives. Even for larger farms whose households are largely dependent on agriculture, the importance of a cash crop in the system is critical. There is a crucial role for extension services in making farmers aware of the potential impacts on farm revenue of modest changes in their farm management systems. We are monitoring nine households in the district, whose farmers have made some changes to their system in an attempt to increase household income and enhance food security.     

以农机资本经营促进大型农机自我更新

1998年，安达市被黑龙江省财政厅确定为农机资本经营试点市。几年来，在黑龙江省财政厅的大力支持下，在省农机局的精心指导下，取得了较好的经济和社会效益。实施农机资本经营，无论对地方财政建设，还是对农机事业自我完善和更新发展，都起到了积极的推进作用。为此，以实施农机资本经营为出发点，论述了大型农机的自我完善、自我更新的发展思路。     

水产品收购价格预测的时序组合模型研究

我国水产品市场已经出现了区域性、结构性的供大于求及价格持续下降的现象。为此，对水产品价格进行预测是必要的。以1978～1999年数据为样本，利用时序组合模型对2000年的水产品收购价格进行了预测研究。     

Irrigated land retirement

Land retirement is ceasing irrigation withthe goal of reducing load, in general, ofdissolved constituents and, in particular,of trace elements, present in subsurfacedrainage generated from irrigated lands. Retirement is achieved through a process ofgoal setting, strategy development anddetermining effects, developing landselection criteria, implementation, andmonitoring. In this study, effects of landretirement are evaluated using hydrologic,soil and economic models as well as resultsfrom a field demonstration study. From themodeling and field monitoring, a process isdeveloped to meet the goals of a landretirement program in the San JoaquinValley of California.Potential negative effects listed for landretirement included loss of agriculturalproductivity, perhaps permanently, and lossof revenue to surrounding communities. Uncertainties included those associatedwith reuse of retired lands as wildlifehabitat, with retired-land maintenanceincluding dust control, with potentialpreservation of retired lands in reservefor future re-introduction to irrigated ordry-land agriculture, and withinstitutional changes concerning repaymentof federal and state water contracts. Benefits would accrue from economic returnto the landowner from the sale of property,the sale or lease of irrigation watersupply, the reduced cost of handlingdrainage, and allocation of freed-up waterto beneficial uses, and the reduced risk ofselenium exposure to fish and wildlife.A recommended sequential approach to selectand manage retired land is to identifyprimary objectives; formulate and implementarea-specific land retirement scenarios;measure biologic, hydrologic, soils andeconomic consequences in the short term andthe long term and manage and monitorretired lands based on dynamic biologic,hydrologic and soil conditions.     

黑龙江省农业资源配置现状及调整方向

资源配置从来都处于调整之中，稳定不变的资源配置是没有的。黑龙江省资源相对丰度较高，农业资源环境较好，但资源配置仍存在着不容忽视的问题。形势发展要求应立足于黑龙江省特有的自然、经济以及社会条件，调整农业资源配置方向。     

21世纪我国沿海地区城镇居民食品消费需求分析

利用2000~2004年12个省市面板数据构建消费需求Working模型,实证分析了21世纪我国沿海地区城镇居民食品需求情况。结果表明,沿海地区城镇居民食品消费结构发生了深刻变化,对外用餐、奶类和瓜果类需求会进一步扩大,而对其他食品的需求会减少,这对我国农业生产和餐饮服务业发展具有十分重要的意义。     

Evaluating the Impact of Irrigation and Drainage Policies on Agricultural Sustainability

Farmers in the Broadview Water District in central Californiahave been improving irrigation practices in response to risingirrigation water prices and reductions in water supply since1989, when incentive policies were first implemented to reducethe volume of subsurface drain water generated in theDistrict. The average salinity of water deliveries hasincreased, over time, as the District has recycled largeamounts of drainage water to achieve regional restrictions ondrainage water discharge. We review irrigation and drainageactivities in Broadview since 1986 with an emphasis on thesustainability of crop production when drainage discharge islimited. Average cotton yields in Broadview have declined inrecent years, both nominally and in comparison with averageyields reported for the large county in which Broadview islocated. Average tomato yields in Broadview have increased inrecent years, but county-wide yields have exceeded Broadviewyields with greater frequency than in the late 1980s. Theseobservations suggest that average crop yields in Broadview maybe starting to reflect the increasing salinity of soil andwater resources, which may be due in part to persistentrestrictions on drainage water discharge.