On farm observations to increase genetic gain in breeding schemes for village poultry production – A simulation study

To improve genetic gain of breeding programs for village poultry production, breeding schemes with observations obtained in village production systems using individual (VIO) and group recording (VGO) were examined under different levels of genotype-by-environment-interactions (GxE). GxE was modeled by varying the correlation between traits measured in the breeding station and village environments for bodyweight (r_{g_BW}) and egg production (r_{g_EP}). Relative and absolute genetic gains obtained from VIO and VGO were used for comparison between the schemes. Results showed that village observations significantly improved genetic gains compared to the scheme without birds tested in the village. The improvement was only slightly larger with individual observations than with group observations. Higher r_{g_BW} and r_{g_EP} led to lower relative genetic gain, but a higher absolute gain of VIO and VGO. It is recommended to apply a breeding scheme using group recording of village performance when strong GxE in breeding for village poultry is expected.     

基于多阶段预报分布的贝叶斯多变量均值向量监控模型

考虑了一类具有多个时间点重置执行价格的欧式熊市（或牛市）重置权证定价.应用鞅定价方法和多维正态分布函数，得到了该类权证价格的显示解和Δ对冲策略，推广了Gray和Whaley的单时点重置权证定价模型.     

Can soil moisture deficit be used to forecast when soils are at high risk of damage owing to grazing animals?

A potentially significant cause of damage to grassland soils is compaction of unsaturated soil and poaching of saturated or nearly saturated soil by animal hooves. Damage is caused when an applied stress is in excess of the bearing strength of the soil and results in a loss of soil structure, macroporosity and air or water conductivity. Severely damaged soils can cause reduced grassland productivity and make grazing management very difficult for the farmer. The actual amount of soil damage that can occur during grazing is dependent on the grass cover which acts as a protecting layer, the soil water content and the characteristics of the grazing animal (weight and hoof size). Assuming that the farmer is knowledgeable about the characteristics of the grazing animal and grass cover, it would be very useful for short‐term operational farm planning to be able to predict when soil water contents were likely to be in a critical range with respect to potential hoof damage. In this study soil moisture deficits (SMDs) which can be derived from meteorological forecasts are evaluated for predicting when soil water conditions are likely to lead to hoof damage. Two contrasting Irish grassland soils were analysed using a Hounsfield servo‐mechanical vertical testing machine to simulate static (285.4 N) and dynamic (571 N) hoof loads on the soil over a range of estimated SMDs (0, 5, 10 and 20 mm). The deficits were analysed with respect to the soil volumetric water content, compression (displacement) and change in dry bulk density. The SMDs imposed in the laboratory were similar to those under field conditions and thus the methods used in this study are applicable elsewhere. The change in dry bulk density following loading (0.2–0.7 g/cm³) was linearly related to SMD (R² ranged from 0.90 to 0.99), leading to the conclusion that a forecast of SMD can be used to predict when grassland soils are likely to be at risk of damage from grazing.     

聚脲喷枪混合室的设计和FLUENT仿真分析

为提高聚脲喷涂喷枪的混合效果，基于撞击流理论设计了一种新型聚脲喷涂喷枪的混合室。混合室采用两级撞击混合，分别采用两组T型和两组Y型对撞混合形式。利用SolidWorks设计混合室的结构模型后，利用FLUENT软件，采用冷、热水在混合室内撞击混合、对流传热的方法进行仿真模拟，并且计算了流体在混合室内的微观混合时间。结果表明:合理增加撞击流混合室的混合级数和采用多组T型、Y型对撞混合形式可增益混合效果；撞击流混合室的主要混合区是在撞击区；流体在喷枪内停留的总时间约为5.71 ms，满足具有反应迅速这一特性的材料的混合要求；微观混合时间小于1 ms，混合效果优异。      

基于MCMC模拟的MGPD模型及其在地质灾害风险度量中的应用

基于马尔科夫链蒙特卡洛(简记为MCMC)模拟的参数贝叶斯估计,对改进的广义帕累托分布(简记为MGPD)模型进行了优化,并利用该模型得到了地质灾害损失的在险损失值(简记为VaR)和条件损失值(简记为CVaR).以湖南娄底市地质灾害损失数据进行实证分析及模型适应性检验,结果表明:优化后的模型不仅具有很好的极值数据描述能力,而且具有较强的适用性.     

流固耦合方法对气携旋流分离的数值模拟

指出了气携式液液旋流器是港区小型化、船载化洗舱、压仓含油废水预处理的关键设备.采用流固耦合数值模拟方法再现压缩机进气、油水旋流与设备本体的整体气浮—旋流—分离耦合计算模型 ,对其核心部件微孔旋流套管的构型、孔径、内外压差及腔内流场分布进行了三维数值模拟 ,得到了微孔旋流腔内汽、水、油三相的流场分布 ,合理确定了注气腔气—水平衡分压、溢流比和微孔孔径 ,并模拟了压缩机、潜水泵正常工况下进气、进水、出水、油污溢流的流量、流速波动范围 ,为该设备的一体化构型设计和加工选材提供了参考数据.     

外来豚草属植物在不同环境约束下的入侵能力

通过温室控制试验,探讨生境变化对豚草生长的影响,以及与豚草入侵能力的关系;使用智能光照培养箱模拟不同海拔梯度的温度条件,探讨低温对豚草幼苗生长的影响;通过人工去叶的方式模拟天敌昆虫采食对豚草的生物控制效果。研究结果表明:豚草与丛枝菌根真菌共生增强了其适应不同土壤环境的能力。丛枝菌根真菌通过增加豚草的比叶面积,提高了豚草的资源获取能力,此作用在土壤有效氮含量低时更加明显,丛枝菌根真菌对豚草适应低氮生境有着重要意义。由于海拔升高导致环境温度降低,豚草幼苗的株高显著减少(P0.01),生物量在22.5~15.1℃差异显著(P0.01),15.1~9.4℃差异不显著,低温导致豚草幼苗生长缓慢,可能是限制豚草向北京周边高海拔地区扩散的重要环境因子之一。去叶处理对豚草的分枝数没有显著影响。去叶显著降低了豚草的生物量(P0.05),而在对照和碳素添加(1650 g·m-2)处理中对生物量没有显著影响。去叶后,剩余叶片的叶绿素测定值升高,豚草通过补偿生长增加了剩余叶片中的叶绿素含量以维持必需的光合作用。据此推测,由于豚草具有较强的再生能力,8月份之前如果天敌采食没有达到一定强度,则不会形成有效控制。     

农林类高校学风问题及建设对策探讨

从学习目的、学习态度、学习纪律、学习方法、学习兴趣、学习氛围等方面提出并分析了农林类高校的学风问题,从提高认识、抓实专业思想教育、深化教学改革、坚持导管结合、加强校园文化建设等方面提出了加强学风建设的思路与对策。     

侵彻引信半实物仿真系统设计

鉴于侵彻引信实际作战环境的复杂多变性，设计一种半实物仿真系统对于引信综合性能的评估具有积极意义。首先重点分析了侵彻过载数据库的建立和侵彻引信的起爆控制模块的设计。为检验半实物仿真系统的实际工作能力，在现有的试验条件以及实现硬目标侵彻引信半实物仿真系统设计的基础之上，对引信的计时起爆控制模式进行了仿真试验研究。