Impact of grassland contract policy on soil organic carbon losses from alpine grassland on the Qinghai–Tibetan Plateau

Carbon storage in the soils on the Qinghai–Tibetan Plateau plays a very important role in the global carbon budget. In the 1990s, a policy of contracting collective grasslands to smaller units was implemented, resulting in a change from the traditional collective grassland management to two new management patterns: a multi‐household management pattern (MMP: grassland shared by several households without enclosures) and a single‐household management pattern (SMP: grassland enclosed and used by only one household). In 2016, 50 MMP and 54 SMP winter pastures on the Qinghai–Tibetan Plateau were sampled to assess the differences in soil organic carbon (SOC) between the two management patterns. Results showed that average SOC was significantly greater under MMP than under SMP, with an estimated 0.41 Mg C/ha/yr lost due to SMP following the new grassland contract. Based on the government's grassland policy, four grassland utilization scenarios were developed for both summer and winter pastures. We found that if the grassland were managed under SMP, likely C losses ranged between 0.31 × 10⁷ and 6.15 × 10⁷ Mg C/yr across the Qinghai–Tibetan Plateau relative to MMP, which more closely resembles pre‐1990s grassland management. Previous estimates of C losses have only considered land use change (with cover change) and ignored the impacts driven by land management pattern changes (without cover change). The new data suggest that C losses from the Qinghai–Tibetan Plateau are greater than previously estimated, and therefore that the grassland contract policy should be reviewed and SMP households should be encouraged to reunite into the MMP. These findings have potential implications for land management strategies not only on the Qinghai–Tibetan Plateau but also other grazing regions globally where such practices may exist.     

趋势移动平均法在耕地面积预测中的应用研究—基于1985-2010年甘肃省耕地面积分析

以甘肃省1985-2006年的耕地面积数据为基础,应用趋势移动平均法对2007-2010年的耕地面积进行预测。将预测结果与2007-2010年的实际耕地面积进行比较,结果显示趋势移动平均法预测出的耕地面积与实际面积接近。研究证明:采用趋势移动平均法建立的预测模型合理,趋势移动平均法应用于耕地面积变化趋势预测可行。     

风毛菊属植物胁迫效应研究进展

通过查阅国内外文献进行归纳、分析,风毛菊属植物中已知的胁迫效应研究主要集中于盐胁迫和紫外胁迫。笔者等对盐胁迫和紫外胁迫对风毛菊属植物生长、代谢及光合作用等方面的影响进行综述,以期为该属植物的进一步深入研究和开发利用提供科学依据。     

基于BP神经网络的太阳辐射预测——以兰州市为例

采用常规气象观测资料建立了兰州市太阳总辐射BP神经网络预测模型,利用神经网络释义图和连接权法剔除了模型中的冗余变量,用优化的BP网络模型预测了兰州市1996-2000年的太阳辐射,并用实测数据验证了该模型。结果表明:该方法增加了模型的透明度,提高了模型的可靠性和鲁棒性,模拟结果与实测值非常吻合,模拟值的各项误差指标值均很小,模拟值与实测值的拟合优度R2达到0.987,通过与其他经验模型的模拟结果进行对比,优化的BP网络模型的模拟效果最好,精度明显高于其它经验模型。因此,对于无太阳辐射观测的地区,优化后的BP网络模型是预测当地太阳辐射的一种有效方法。     

凤凰单丛茶树资源遗传多样性的ISSR分析

采用ISSR分子标记技术对48份凤凰单丛茶品种(系)进行了遗传多样性分析。选用10个多态性高、分辨力强的ISSR引物分别对供试材料基因组DNA进行扩增,共获得121个位点,其中多态位点带98个,多态位点比率(PPB)为81.0%。品种(系)之间的遗传相似系数变化范围在0.590 9~0.967 4之间。UPGMA聚类分析结果表明,在GS值为0.792的水平上供试材料可划分为7大类,其亲缘关系远近与地理来源关系不大且与香味类型没有必然的联系。     

兰州市居民居住区位偏好研究

以问卷调查和相互交谈得到的数据为基础,运用统计分析法和模糊综合评价法,分析居民的居住区位偏好、居住区位优势以及居民社会属性和区位环境因素对区位偏好的影响.结果显示:1)居民对现居地有较大依赖性的同时更偏好于城关区和安宁区,选择七里河区和西固区的主要是部分本地居民的意愿.2)居住区位偏好与区位优势具有较高的吻合性.3)居民的年龄、文化程度、家庭月收入、职业等对居住区位偏好的影响不明显,而住房位置、房价、交通条件、教育环境是影响居住区位偏好的主要因素.     

Estimating spatial mean soil water contents of sloping jujube orchards using temporal stability

Estimating spatial mean soil water contents from point-scale measurements is important to improve soil water management in sloping land of semiarid areas. Temporal stability analysis, as a statistical technique to estimate soil water content, is an effective tool in terms of facilitating the upscaling estimation of mean values. The objective of this study was to examine temporal stability of soil water profiles (0–20, 20–40, 40–60 and 0–60 cm) in sloping jujube (Zizyphus jujuba) orchards and to estimate field mean root-zone soil water based on temporal stability analysis in the Yuanzegou catchment of the Chinese Loess Plateau, using soil water observations under both dry and wet soil conditions. The results showed that different time-stable locations were identified for different depths and the temporal stability of soil water content in 20–40 cm was significantly (P < 0.05) weaker than that in other depths. Moreover, these time-stable locations had relatively high clay contents, relatively mild slopes and relatively planar surfaces compared to the corresponding field means. Statistical analysis revealed that the temporal stability of root zone soil water (0–60 cm) was higher in either dry or wet season than that including both, and soil water exhibited very low temporal stability during the transition period from dry to wet. Based on the temporal stability analysis, field mean soil water contents were estimated reasonably (R² from 0.9560 to 0.9873) from the point measurements of these time-stable locations. Since the terrains in this study are typical in the hilly regions of the Loess Plateau, the results presented here should improve soil water management in sloping orchards in the Loess Plateau.     

祁连山南麓高寒灌丛GPP变化特征及对生长季积温的响应

全球气候变化背景下气温逐渐升高,将会对陆地生态系统碳循环产生重要影响。研究利用2003?2016年的涡度相关系统观测资料,研究了祁连山南麓高寒灌丛生长季(5月?9月)总初级生产力(gross primary productivity,GPP)在不同时间尺度上对生长季有效积温(growing season degree days,GDD)的响应,对于研究气候变暖对高寒生态系统碳循环的影响有重要意义。结果表明:高寒灌丛生态系统在生长季的月GPP、GDD都表现为先增大后减小的单峰变化趋势,都在7月或8月达到峰值,在5月达到最小值。在整个生长季尺度上,GPP与GDD具有较高变异性,但整体上表现为逐渐增加的趋势(P<0.05)。2003?2016年整个生长季GPP与GDD的均值分别为507.11 g·m^?2和975.93℃。在月尺度和生长季尺度上,GPP与GDD都呈显著正相关关系(P<0.05)。但是,通过比较生长季每个月GPP与GDD的关系发现,5、9月的GPP与GDD没有显著相关性(P>0.05),而在7月相关性最为显著(P<0.01)。整体上看,高寒灌丛生态系统植被的总初级生产力与热量条件表现为正相关关系,由此说明在全球气候变暖的背景下,青藏高原高寒灌丛生态系统植被的光合生产能力将会提高。     

2001−2016年祁连山地区植被覆盖度对干旱的响应

祁连山地区位于西北干旱半干旱地区,气候干燥,降水量少,区域内部生态环境脆弱。全球气候变暖及经济发展,对区域生态环境造成了重大影响。本研究通过研究植被覆盖度(fractional vegetation cover,FVC)时空分布特征和变化趋势以及对干旱的响应,为生态环境改善和减轻干旱影响提供依据。本研究基于MOD13Q1遥感数据以及气象数据,采用像元二分模型、Thornthwaite方法、趋势分析法、Hurst指数和相关分析法,计算得到2001?2016年祁连山地区FVC和表示干旱的标准化降水蒸散发指数(standardized precipitation evaportranspiration index,SPEI),分析FVC和SPEI时空分布特征和动态变化趋势,以及二者之间的相关关系。研究表明:1)2001?2016年祁连山地区FVC整体呈增长趋势,2001年FVC最低,2011年FVC最大,季节变化明显,夏季FVC最高;空间上,祁连山地区FVC整体呈东南高西北低的分布特征,年均值为0.4522,区域差异明显,绝大部分区域FVC呈增加趋势;2)近16年,祁连山地区FVC改善的区域占77.13%,退化的区域占22.87%;FVC未来变化趋势负向特征强于正向特征,持续改善的面积为28.10%,由改善到退化的面积最大为49.23%,需要加大力度对这些区域进行关注和保护;3)祁连山地区绝大多数地区处于湿润状态,中段和东段部分地区处于轻度干旱;不同时间尺度上,年际SPEI均呈现干旱化加强趋势,总体上2001?2016年祁连山地区干旱化程度呈降低趋势,气候向好的方向发展;4)年尺度上祁连山地区SPEI与FVC呈正相关关系,季节尺度上夏季FVC对SPEI干旱程度响应最明显,春季和秋季次之,说明FVC与SPEI间相关显著性越高,响应也就越明显。     

三江源区不同高寒草地植物矿物元素含量特征及分析

本试验对三江源区不同高寒草地植物中6种矿物元素（钾K,钙Ca,钠Na,镁Mg,锌Zn,铁Fe）的含量进行了测定和分析,结果表明：植物中K元素含量为7.314～12.803 g·kg^-1之间,Ca元素含量为2.851～6.823 g·kg^-1之间,Na元素含量为64.404～185.553 mg·kg^-1之间,Mg元素含量为1.272～2.655 g·kg^-1之间,Zn元素含量为14.718～51.387 mg·kg^-1之间,Fe元素含量为161.056～531.677 mg·kg^-1之间;豆科（Leguminosae）植物和杂类草（Forbs）矿物元素含量显著高于禾本科（Gramineae）和莎草科（Cyperaceae）植物;植物中K元素与Mg元素、Ca元素与Na元素、Ca元素与Zn元素、Na元素与Zn元素含量之间呈极显著正相关关系（P<0.01）,Ca元素与Fe元素、Mg元素与Fe元素之间呈显著正相关关系（P<0.05）;根据美国国家研究理事会（National research council,NRC）绵羊日粮矿物元素需求标准,三江源区各草地植物中Na,Zn元素相对缺乏,其它4种元素均能满足放牧藏羊的矿物营养需求。