成员外出务工、家庭人口结构与农户土地流转参与——基于CFPS的微观实证

利用中国家庭动态追踪调查CFPS2012全国大样本数据,实证分析了成员外出务工和家庭人口结构对农户土地流转行为的影响。解决内生性问题后,结果表明:1)随着家庭成员外出务工率的提升,农户更倾向于转出土地;2)与以往成果不一致,本研究并没有发现外出务工对农户家庭土地转入行为有显著负面影响。3)家庭人口结构老年化会负向影响农户土地转出行为和土地转出率,而家庭人口结构女性化对农户是否流转土地和流转参与率均没有显著影响。4)进一步的研究表明,外出务工之所以不再负向影响农地转入,关键在于农业机械很好的替代了流失劳动力。

Effect of off-farm and household population structure on agricultural land transfer: An empirical analysis based on CFPS

Based on the national large sample data of CFPS2012, and from the perspective of NELM, the impact of peasant household non-agricultural employment and population structure on land-transfer behavior and circulation participation rate from the household level are examined. Taking the endogenous problem into account, the results show that:1) Non-agricultural employment can significantly promote farmers'' land transfer behavior and land transfer rate; 2) Non-agricultural employment has no significant effect on farmers'' land transfer behavior and land transfer rate; 3) Aging only has negative effect on farmers'' land transfer behavior and land transfer rate at the household level, while feminization at household level had no significant effect on farmers'' land transfer behavior and participation rate. 4) Further research shows that migrant workers no longer has negative effect on the transfer of agricultural land because the agricultural machinery is a good alternative to the loss of labor.