A simple model for complex dynamical transitions in epidemics

Dramatic changes in patterns of epidemics have been observed throughout this century. For childhood infectious diseases such as measles, the major transitions are between regular cycles and irregular, possibly chaotic epidemics, and from regionally synchronized oscillations to complex, spatially incoherent epidemics. A simple model can explain both kinds of transitions as the consequences of changes in birth and vaccination rates. Measles is a natural ecological system that exhibits different dynamical transitions at different times and places, yet all of these transitions can be predicted as bifurcations of a single nonlinear model.     

Effects of landscape corridors on seed dispersal by birds

Habitat fragmentation threatens biodiversity by disrupting dispersal. The mechanisms and consequences of this disruption are controversial, primarily because most organisms are difficult to track. We examined the effect of habitat corridors on long-distance dispersal of seeds by birds, and tested whether small-scale (<20 meters) movements of birds could be scaled up to predict dispersal of seeds across hundreds of meters in eight experimentally fragmented landscapes. A simulation model accurately predicted the observed pattern of seed rain and revealed that corridors functioned through edge-following behavior of birds. Our study shows how models based on easily observed behaviors can be scaled up to predict landscape-level processes.     

Skeletal and Pigmentation Defects following Retinoic Acid Exposure in Larval Summer Flounder, Paralichthys dentatus

Supplementation of larval diets with vitamin A (VA) is routinely and successfully used to stimulate pigmentation development in hatchery‐reared flatfishes. However, excess dietary VA can lead to high levels of its metabolite retinoic acid (RA) and has been associated with the occurrence of skeletal deformities, presumably via RA toxicity. We reared summer flounder larvae, Paralichthys dentatus, in water containing 0‐ to 20‐nM RA to assess its effects on postmetamorphic pigmentation and on skeletal development. RA exposure disrupted pigmentation development: treated tanks had a smaller percentage of normally pigmented fish than did controls, with increased numbers of both hypo‐ and hyperpigmented individuals. Exposure also affected the development of several skeletal features: RA treatment correlated with a significant increase in the severity of defects in jaws, fins, hypurals, and vertebrae compared with control groups.     

Polymeric structure of spruce lignin

From the Flory-Stockmayer theory and molecular weights of successive fractions of lignin obtained by extraction of spruce wood with a mixture of water, dioxane, and hydrochloric acid and by sulfonation, the average length of the primary chains was estimated to be 18 phenylpropane units. From data on the acid-catalyzed cleavage of model compounds in various solvents the degrees of cross-linking in four extraction processes were calculated. The average degree of cross-linking of intact lignin was found to be 0.277; that is, 5 out of every 18 phenylpropane units bear cross-linking benzyl ether groups. Of the five, three are also etherified at their phenolic ends (B groups), and two are not (X groups).     

Alkaline pulping with additives. A review

Summary The technology and chemistry of recent advances in alkaline pulping are reviewed from the standpoint of the authors' work over the past few years. Topics reviewed include soda-amine [particularly soda-ethylenediamine (EDA)], soda-anthraquinone (AQ), kraft-AQ, and soda-AQ/EDA pulping and their effects on pulp strength properties and bleachability. There is evidence to support the concept that the rates of all alkaline delignification reactions, including kraft, are controlled by a reductive step which transfers electrons to the degrading lignin.