基于Copula 函数的边坡可靠度高效分析方法

将Copula函数与高效蒙特卡洛方法结合,提出了含相关随机变量的边坡可靠度高效分析方法。以两个岩质边坡稳定性问题为例验证了所提方法的有效性。结果表明,该方法相比于直接蒙特卡洛方法在保证边坡失效概率的准确性的同时计算效率更高。Copula函数可以构造出具有不同相关结构的岩土体参数的联合概率分布,与高效蒙特卡洛方法(即蒙特卡洛重要抽样方法和子集模拟)结合能高效地处理含多种相关随机变量的边坡可靠度计算问题,相比于现行的Nataf变换方法结果更能体现岩土边坡真实稳定性。此外,该方法也能高效地计算含有复杂的隐式功能函数的边坡可靠度,研究成果拓展了高效蒙特卡洛方法在边坡可靠度分析中的应用。     

一种估测亚麻出麻率的简便方法

统计分析显示亚麻茎中段的出麻率与单株出麻率相关极显著，可以在育种的单株选择过程中，利用茎中段的出麻率来快速估算单株出麻率，以减轻工作量，提高工作效率。     

周期性测量方法探讨

本文就周期性测量中递推求精方法的可行性进行了一些探讨,并对两个典型实验推导出它们采用递惟求精方法的可行性判别式。     

A modified fluorometric method to quantify the concentration effect (pI50) of photosystem II-inhibiting herbicides

Chlorophyll fluorescence induction curves of isolated thylakoids were measured in the absence and in the presence of various concentrations of photosystem II-inhibiting herbicides. A mathematical program was applied to simulate the curves. Based on these simulated curves a new method is developed to determine the concentration effect (pI₅₀) of the herbicides. The results of the new method correspond well with reported values in the literature. The method is very convenient and time-saving.     

牛病毒性腹泻病毒检测方法研究进展

引起牛病毒性腹泻/黏膜病(bovine viral diarrhea—mucosal disease,BVD—MD)的病原为牛病毒性腹泻病毒(Bovine viral diarrhea virus,BVDV),牛感染后会出现与其他腹泻病相似的症状,仅通过临床表现和病理观察很难做出准确鉴别;其次持续感染(PI)牛是该病主要传染源,如何鉴别、净化牛场中PI牛十分重要。为了检测BVDV病原和净化PI牛,选择一种最佳的检测方法非常重要。文章对目前常用的不同BVDV检测方法进行了比较分析。不同检测方法在敏感性、特异性等方面均存在差异。实际应用时应根据检测目的综合考虑,选择适宜的检测方法。     

湖南洋泉水库调度的最优气候决策方法探讨

充分利用气候资源作好水库水位（量）调度、提高水库在抗旱和发电中的经济效益,是当今水库调度决策亟待解决的一个重要课题.本文根据气象经济学原理,运用连续函数求极值方法,利用洋泉水库有关经济参数,建立水库气候最优调度决策,在水库的实际调度中应用,可取得明显的社会经济效益.     

A.A. Marcov Forecast Method of the System Ration in Estate Business Study

A. A. Markov Rolling Forecast Method is presented in this paper according to the dynamic characteristics of the estate business system. Test results reveal that the system quantitative forecast could be realized on the basis of previous samples, which provide a direction of the rational management in estate business. Concerning sample molding analysis and Markov Rolling Forecast Method, this paper gives a corresponding conclusion of analytic research quantitatively in order to demonstrate the formation of factors working in estate business activities and its systematic logistic connotation. Markov Rolling Forecast Method can be applied not only to short-term prediction but long term one as well, provided when the market is rather stable with no significant change during a regular period of time and when the rolling times of the state transition matrix are fairly enough.     

A New Monte Carlo Method Based on State Analysis

A new Monte Carlo Method for system reliability evaluation is proposed in this paper. The repeated sampling of system states with relatively great probabilities is avoided in the simulation,thus the sampling efficiency is significantly improved. Besides,the negative correlations used in different trials can further reduce the estimated varinaces. The sparse matrix technique is employed to reduce the memory requirement and to save the computer time. Comparative studies show that the method proposed is of great value and the application to the IEEE reliability test system (power system) is successful.     

水泵进水设计模型试验方法

模型试验是国际上普遍采用的检验和改进泵站进水设计的主要方法,而试验标准则是水泵进水设计模型试验的重要依据;目前我国尚未有关于泵站进水设计模型试验的试验标准。本文简要讨论了水泵进水设计的整体概念,并根据美国国家标准《水泵进水设计》(ANSI／HI9．8-1998),介绍了水泵进水设计模型试验的目的、主要内容、试验准则、测试方法、试验方案和试验结果评价等主要内容。     

标准文献的CNMARC格式著录和标引

标准文献与普通图书相比有许多不同之处。主要介绍了我国标准文献的概况、特征、主要著录项目及信息源。用实例探讨了标准文献特有的CNMARC著录方法及标引。