陡山灌区实时灌溉预报研究

介绍了参考作物腾发量和实际作物腾发量的实时预报及修正方法 ,结合陡山灌区实际资料 ,分别针对主要旱作物和水稻建立了实时灌溉预报模型 ,并对模型各参数进行了率定 ,特别针对参考作物腾发量预报模型中 A0 的确定进行了分析 ,给出了更合理的 A0 取值方法。基于可视化语言开发灌溉配水实时决策支持系统 ,该系统界面友好 ,操作简单 ,实用性强 ,利于推广。     

日光温室作物蒸发蒸腾量的计算方法研究及其评价

对FAO推荐计算参考作物蒸发蒸腾量的Penman-Monteith(缩写为P-M)公式,在日光温室微气候的条件应用作了详细的分析。将P-M公式分为2个部分,即辐射项(ETrad)和空气动力学项(ETaero),推导出了计算温室内参考作物蒸发蒸腾量的P-M修正公式,解决了P-M公式假定温室内风速为“0”所引起的一系列问题。并根据2004年和2005年温室内实测气象数据和水面蒸发对其进行了验证,通过相关分析得出用修正后的P-M公式计算作物蒸发蒸腾量比FAO推荐的P-M公式计算值误差小、精度高。建议在日光温室里使用修正后的P-M公式计算参考作物的蒸发蒸腾量。     

兰州南北两山集雨绿化生态水文变化机理初探

以兰州南北两山集雨绿化无灌溉人工生态系统为研究对象，在定位监测的基础上，运用生态水文学的基本原理，分析了拧条和柽柳土壤水分的土层分配、利用和水量平衡模式的变化，讨论了集雨区的植被盖度和结皮的发育成因和影响，以及拧条和柽柳在不同集雨面积的蒸散发量。得出在兰州南北两山集雨绿化可以推广乔木柽柳，其生态系统和生态水文过程比较稳定。     

参考作物蒸发蒸腾量的气象因子响应模型

基于江苏省南通市2000～2004年的旬气象资料,用FAO推荐的Penman-Monteith公式计算了参考作物蒸发蒸腾量,研究了参考作物蒸发蒸腾量与最高气温、最低气温、平均气温、相对湿度、日照时数、风速和气压等气象因素间的关系,建立了参考作物蒸发蒸腾量的响应模型.结果表明,参考作物蒸发蒸腾量与"温度因子"的关系最强,其次为"湿度和日照因子","风速因子"也有一定的影响,"气压因子"影响作用则稍弱;建立的气象因子响应模型模拟精度较高,可以简化参考作物蒸发蒸腾量计算.     

Remote sensing of biotic and abiotic stress for irrigation management of cotton

The applicability of commercially available remote sensing instrumentation was evaluated for site-specific management of abiotic and biotic stress on cotton (Gossypium hirsutum L.) grown under a center pivot low energy precision application (LEPA) irrigation system. This study was conducted in a field where three irrigation regimes (100%, 75%, and 50% ET_c) were imposed on areas of Phymatotrichum (root rot) with the specific objectives to (1) examine commercial remote sensing instrumentation for locating areas showing biotic and abiotic stress symptomology in a cotton field, (2) compare data obtained from commercial aerial infrared photography to that collected by infrared transducers (IRTs) mounted on a center pivot, (3) evaluate canopy temperature changes between irrigation regimes and their relationship to lint yield with IRTs and/or IR photography, and (4) explore the use of deficit irrigation and the use of crop coefficients for irrigation scheduling. Pivot-mounted IRTs and an IR camera were able to differentiate water stress among irrigation regimes. The IR camera distinguished between biotic (root rot) and abiotic (drought) stress with the assistance of groundtruthing. The 50% ET_c regime had significantly higher canopy temperatures than the other two regimes, which was reflected in significantly lower lint yields when compared to the 75% and 100% ET_c regimes. Deficit irrigation down to 75% ET_c had no impact on lint yield, indicating that water savings were possible without reducing yield.     

Measuring versus estimating net radiation and soil heat flux: Impact on Penman–Monteith reference ET estimates in semiarid regions

The standardized ASCE Penman–Monteith and FAO-56 equations were used to estimate reference evapotranspiration (ET₀) using estimated and measured net radiation (R_n) and soil heat flux (G), based on hourly and daily meteorological data. The estimates were evaluated against lysimeter measurements. The results indicate that using measured or estimated values of R_n and G can have significant effect on the accuracy of the ET₀ estimations, especially when calculations were made on an hourly basis. The FAO-56 version performed very well during the irrigation season on a daily basis. The use of measured R_n and G did not improve ET₀ estimation on a daily basis, therefore, the use of estimated R_n and G appears to be dependable when calculations are based on 24-h weather data. When daily ET₀ was calculated from hourly estimations, the results were different depending on the version used. The ASCE version was more accurate, especially when R_n and G were measured. Therefore, measurement of R_n and G may have potential to improve estimation only when daily ET₀ is calculated from hourly estimations. The PM FAO-56 version was always a little less accurate than the ASCE version. For hourly calculations, using a constant surface resistance (as in FAO-56 version), the PM method underpredicted for high evaporative demand and vice versa. The ASCE version performed better than PM FAO-56 version when R_n and G were measured and estimated. Therefore, ASCE version tended to provide quite accurate values of hourly ET₀, even using estimated values of R_n and G. As conclusion, the methods proposed by FAO-56 for estimating R_n and G tended to produce accurate estimates for daily and hourly ET₀ under semiarid conditions and can be used with some degree of confidence for estimating ET₀. In addition, results suggest that the ASCE standardized equation on an hourly basis improved the accuracy of ET₀ estimation with respect to the FAO-56 version.     

基于气温预报和神经网络的参考作物腾发量预报

采用反向传播人工神经网络(BP-ANN)逼近气象因子-参考作物腾发量ET0函数关系,以天气预报中的最高和最低气温为输入进行短期ET0预报。收集了南京站实测的2010年7月1日至2013年7月7日逐日气象数据和2012年7月1日至2013年6月30日逐日对未来7d的气象预报数据,以最高、最低气温及相应的日序数为3个输入因子,ET0为输出建立一个包含一个隐含层的3层BP网络,以2010年7月1日至2012年6月30日实测气象数据及通过FAO-56PM公式计算的ET0进行网络,以2012年7月1日至2013年6月30日实测气象数据及通过FAO-56PM公式计算的ET0进行网络验证。将2012年7月1日至2013年6月30日逐日对未来7d的气象预报中的最高、最低气温输入训练及验证后的网络,得到2012年7月1日至2013年6月30日逐日对未来7d的ET0预报值,并与FAO-56PM公式计算的ET0值进行比较以验证预报精度。结果表明,预见期1~7d内,预报的ET0和计算的ET0变化趋势基本一致,预报精度随着预见期的增加而降低;平均准确率(±1.5mm/d以内)达88.08%,相关系数为0.77,均方根误差为1.28mm/d,显示出了较高的预报精度。在局部时间段内出现的ET0,PM和预报ET0的较大差别的原因是该时段内的ET0更多地受到除了日最高和最低气温之外的其他因素的影响。提出的方法 ET0预报,随着气象预报准确度的提高,可实现较为精确的ET0预报。     

基于HHT变换的PSO-LSSVM耦合模型估算气象资料短缺地区ET_0

为准确估算气象资料短缺地区参考作物腾发量,构建了一种基于HHT变换的PSO-LSSVM耦合模型,并利用新疆和田气象站2000—2009年单日数据做训练、双日数据做验证。结果表明,该模型估算ET0方法明显优于常规的PSO-LSSVM和GRNN,预测精度较二者分别提高了15.7%~85.6%和15.8%~93.7%;该方法预测ET0的气象要素重要性为RsTmaxTminRHWn,利用该方法对气象要素组合为Tmax/Tmin/RH/Wn、Tmax/RH/Wn、Tmin/Wn、Wn条件下的ET0预测,MSE分别为0.407、0.185、0.149、0.135,说明该方法可以很好地估算资料缺失地区ET0。     

基于Z比分数的参考作物腾发量计算方法优选

参考作物腾发量(ET0)是计算作物需水量的关键,是进行农田水分管理和灌溉预报的主要参数。但不同ET0计算方法的结果存在明显差异。用能力统计量Z比分数,对FAO56Penman-Monteith、Hargreaves-Samani、Irmark-Allen拟合和Priestley-Taylor四种常用ET0计算方法在不同天气条件下的计算结果精度进行了对比分析。结果表明,Priestley-Taylor与FAO56Penman-Monteith方法的计算结果在精度上具有较高的一致性,与有关文献结果相吻合,其中前者精度略佳。且Z比分数参数受极端值的影响较小,计算简便、适用性强,克服了常规方法公式繁杂、编程实现困难的缺点,说明Z比分数法能够更好地适用于ET0计算方法的优选。研究结果可为农业水土工程领域有关参数计算与测定方法的优选提供借鉴。     

Impacts of climate variability on reference evapotranspiration over 58 years in the Haihe river basin of north China

Physically, evaporative demand is driven by net radiation (R_n), vapour pressure (e_a), wind speed (u₂), and air temperature (T_a), each of which changes over time. By analyzing temporal variations in reference evapotranspiration (ET₀), improved understanding of the impacts of climate change on hydrological processes can be obtained. In this study, variations in ET₀ over 58 years (1950-2007) at 34 stations in the Haihe river basin of China were analyzed. ET₀ was calculated by the FAO Penman-Monteith formula. Calculation of Kendall rank coefficient was done by analyzing the annual and seasonal trends in ET₀ derived from its dependent climate variables. Inverse distance weighting (IDW) was used to analyze the spatial variation in annual and seasonal ET₀, and in each climate variable. An attribution analysis was performed to quantify the contribution of each input variable to ET₀ variation. The results showed that ET₀ gradually decreased in the whole basin over the 58 years at a rate of −1.0 mm yr⁻², at the same time, R_n, u₂ and precipitation also decreased. Changes in ET₀ were attributed to the variations in net radiation (−0.9 mm yr⁻²), vapour pressure (−0.5 mm yr⁻²), wind speed (−1.3 mm yr⁻²) and air temperature (1.7 mm yr⁻²). Looking at all data on a month by month basis, we found that T_a had a positive effect on dET₀/dt (the derivative of reference evapotranspiration to time) and R_n and u₂ had negative effects on dET₀/dt. While changes in air temperature were found to produce a large increase in dET₀/dt, changes in other key variables each reduced rates, resulting in an overall negative trend in dET₀/dt.