A simulation model was developed to evaluate the long-term effect of control strategies against milk fever (MF); here, we present the base model and sensitivity analyses. The representation of the within-herd dynamics was based on the existing SimHerd II model. Because of the relationships between MF and other diseases, the new model (called “SimHerd III”) includes diseases common in a dairy herd.
The cow level risk factors modelled were: base risk in the herd, parity, milk-yield potential, lactational disease recurrence, disease interrelationships, body condition and season. The diseases include clinical cases of MF, dystocia, downer-cow syndrome, retained placenta, metritis, displaced abomasum, ketosis and mastitis. The effects of diseases were represented by daily milk yield, daily body weight, daily feed intake, risk of stillbirth, conception probability, decision on culling, death and immediate removal. Simulated technical results showed that the herd effects of reduced risk of MF differed according to the reproductive efficiency in the herd. These interactions between reproduction efficiency and the effect of reduced base risk of MF were related to differences in how the simulated herds reacted to the reduction in replacements caused by MF.
In the sensitivity analysis, eight potential key parameters were changed to their lowest and highest expected values retrieved from the literature. When measuring the sensitivity on milk production in the herd (as the economically most important technical effect), the model seemed most sensitive to the uncertainty of effect of MF on death risk and MF-recurrence risk. 相似文献
Genetic and environmental correlations were estimated both between the ability to show oestrus and milk production, and among different fertility traits (heat-intensity score, number of days between consecutive inseminations, number of inseminations per service period, interval between calving and first or last insemination, and interval between first and last insemination). Milk production was measured as the average of the energy-corrected milk yield on second and third monthly test days. The number of records were approximately 450000, 350000, 180000 and 75000 in the heifer period, first, second and third lactations, respectively. A linear, trivariate model that included the effects of herd-year, year, month, age and cow's sire was applied. The results indicated that further selection for increased milk production is not expected to deteriorate heat intensity. The number of days between calving and first insemination, the number of inseminations and the heat intensity were complementary, and can be recommended for a selection index for fertility. 相似文献
A study was made of feed intake, behaviour and production in 16 dairy cows with one and four cows per feeding station (treatment 1c and 4c, respectively) with a restricted amount of a total mixed diet. The computerized feeding stations comprised continuously weighed feed-troughs placed at feeding gates. The cows were divided in two groups and were studied in a change-over experiment in which each group was submitted to each treatment twice. Video recordings and the computerized feeding system were used to collect data on the order of social dominance, aggression levels, time budgets and the consumption of feed and water. The effects of individual dominance value (DV), age, eating rate and energy requirements were recorded on ingestive behaviour. The cows on treatment 4c visited the feeding stations more often (106% more visits and 76% more meals) and shortened their feeding times by 50%, resulting in higher consumption rates compared with treatment 1c. In addition, aggression increased, resulting in a greater number of displacements at feeding. It is concluded that the investigated combination of competition for feeding space and restricted amounts of feed cannot be recommended. 相似文献