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牧场土壤含水率与坚实度空间变异与相关性分 总被引:3,自引:2,他引:1
利用土壤水分/圆锥指数复合测量装置,应用精细农作技术体系网格定点测量与GPS定位,在一块面积约1.27 hm2的草地上获取了土壤含水率与坚实度空间分布基础数据,并针对采样过程中出现的数据缺失,用偏最小二乘法对数据进行修补.然后运用克里格插值法进行数字化成图,并在此基础上分别对含水率与坚实度的空间变异性及两者的相关性做了分析. 相似文献
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农业生态系统是个“灰箱”.我们运用模糊数学的关联度分析,尝试对这类灰色系统的投入进行技术调控,并取得了良好的效果.通过对农田子系统投入的化肥(尤其是N化肥)、粪肥和还田秸秆进行技术调控的实例证明;它可以作为能、物流分析的辅助手段,互相取长补短.通过关联序分析和关联系数分析,来调整系统的投入结构和投入技艺(时、空、量级及方式的选择).本文提出了应用关联度分析的基本程序和要领以及“贡献曲线”、“潜力曲线”等概念. 相似文献
15.
We describe the spatial epidemiology of Varroa destructor infestation among honey bee apiaries in the greater Auckland area of the North Island of New Zealand. The study population was comprised of 641 apiaries located within the boundaries of the study area on 11 April 2000. Cases were those members of the study population declared Varroa-infested on the basis of testing conducted between April and June 2000. The odds of Varroa was highest in apiaries in the area surrounding transport and storage facilities in the vicinity of Auckland International Airport. A mixed-effects geostatistical model, accounting for spatial extra-binomial variation in Varroa prevalence, showed a 17% reduction in the odds of an apiary being Varroa infested for each kilometre increase in the squared distance from the likely site of incursion (95% Bayesian credible interval 7–28%). The pattern of spatially autocorrelated risk that remained after controlling for the effect of distance from the likely incursion site identified areas thought to be ‘secondary’ foci of Varroa infestation initiated by beekeeper-assisted movement of infested bees. Targeted investigations within these identified areas indicated that the maximum rate of local spread of Varroa was in the order of 12 km/year (interquartile range 10–15 km/year). 相似文献
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The influence of sampling scheme and interpolation method on the power to detect spatial effects of forest birds in Ontario (Canada) 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Spatial ecology is becoming an increasingly important component of resource management, and the general monitoring of how
human activities affect the distribution and abundance of wildlife. Yet most work on the reliability of sampling strategies
is based on a non-spatial analysis of variance paradigm, and little work has been done assessing the power of alternative
spatial methods for creating reliable maps of animal abundance. Such a map forms a critical response variable for multiple
scale studies relating landscape structure to biotic function. The power to reconstruct patterns of distribution and abundance
is influenced by sample placement strategy and density, the nature of spatial auto-correlation among points, and by the technique
used to extrapolate points into an animal abundance map. Faced with uncertainty concerning the influence of these factors,
we chose to first synthesize a model reference system of known properties and then evaluate the relative performance of alternative
sampling and mapping procedures using it. We used published habitat associations of tree nesting boreal neo-tropical birds,
a classified habitat map from the Manitou Lakes area of northwestern Ontario, and point count means and variances determined
from field studies in boreal Canada to create 4 simulated models of avian abundance to function as reference maps. Four point
sampling strategies were evaluated by 4 spatial mapping methods. We found mixed-cluster sampling to be an effective point
sampling strategy, particularly when high habitat fragmentation was avoided by restricting samples to habitat patches >10
ha in size. We also found that of the 4 mapping methods, only stratified ordinary point kriging (OPK) was able to generate
maps that reproduced an embedded landscape-scale spatial effect that reduced nesting bird abundance in areas of higher forest
age-class fragmentation. Global OPK was effective only for detecting broader, regional-scale differences.
This revised version was published online in July 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date. 相似文献
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Accomodation of important sources of uncertainty in ecological models is essential to realistically predicting ecological processes. The purpose of this project is to develop a robust methodology for modeling natural processes on a landscape while accounting for the variability in a process by utilizing environmental and spatial random effects. A hierarchical Bayesian framework has allowed the simultaneous integration of these effects. This framework naturally assumes variables to be random and the posterior distribution of the model provides probabilistic information about the process. Two species in the genus Desmodium were used as examples to illustrate the utility of the model in Southeast Missouri, USA. In addition, two validation techniques were applied to evaluate the qualitative and quantitative characteristics of the predictions.This revised version was published online in May 2005 with corrections to the Cover Date. 相似文献
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孔雀河流域绿洲生态支持系统调控模式研究 总被引:8,自引:0,他引:8
生态环境用水量的减少是孔雀河流域近 50年来现代绿洲环境退化的主要原因 ,维持生态与社会经济的合理用水比例是绿洲系统持续发展的前提。以此为基础 ,本文采用水资源承载力的方法探讨了绿洲生态支持子系统和社会经济子系统优化调控模式 ,最后就配置方案及发展模式的可行性进行了分析 相似文献
20.
Pest Management in Traditional Tropical Agroecosystems: Lessons for Pest Prevention Research and Extension 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Helda Morales 《Integrated Pest Management Reviews》2002,7(3):145-163
Based on current agroecological theory and IPM practices, this review explores the role of traditional practices, involving
site selection, soil management, timing of planting and harvesting, crop resistance, intercropping, weed management, harvest
residue management, post-harvest management, natural enemies management, mechanical control, repellents and traps in the natural
regulation of potential pests. In synthesis, the literature suggests that although pest management professionals focus their
efforts on pest control, the preventative approach taken by traditional farmers is more effective. Potential constraints to
the implementation of this preventive pest management approach include:(1) lack of integration of ecological theory and pest
management, (2) lack of cooperation among social and biological scientists, and (3) lack of real efforts to work with farmers
as equals and support mechanisms that protect their knowledge.
This revised version was published online in July 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date. 相似文献