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黑龙江省大豆生产预警方法研究与实践
引用本文:柏继云,孟军,张战国.黑龙江省大豆生产预警方法研究与实践[J].农机化研究,2011,33(8).
作者姓名:柏继云  孟军  张战国
作者单位:东北农业大学理学院,哈尔滨,150030
基金项目:黑龙江省自然资金资助项目(C2005-23); 大豆生物学教育部重点实验室资助项目(SB06D02)
摘    要:根据黑龙江省大豆生产的实际情况,构建大豆生产预警指标体系,确定黑龙江省大豆生产的预警流程。通过确定黑龙江省大豆生产预警警限和警度,编制扩散指数,进行大豆生产景气指数预警分析,建立大豆生产趋势外推预测模型和先行指标预警模型,对黑龙江省大豆生产进行中短期预测预警。结合黑龙江省大豆生产安全的多种预警结果,确定和验证了黑龙江省大豆生产的近期状态。

关 键 词:大豆生产  预警指标  预警方法  黑龙江  

The Research on the Early Warning System of Soybean Production and Its Practice in Heilongjiang Province
Bai Jiyun,Meng Jun,Zhang Zhanguo.The Research on the Early Warning System of Soybean Production and Its Practice in Heilongjiang Province[J].Journal of Agricultural Mechanization Research,2011,33(8).
Authors:Bai Jiyun  Meng Jun  Zhang Zhanguo
Institution:Bai Jiyun,Meng Jun,Zhang Zhanguo (College of Science of Agricultural University of the Northeast,Harbin 150030,China)
Abstract:According to the actual situation of soybean production in Heilongjiang province soybean production building in Heilongjiang province,determine the early-warning index system of soybean production process,determine the warning soybean production in Heilongjiang province through early warning,warning degrees,diffusion index for soybean production boom index analysis,a warning for soybean production trend extrapolation prediction model and forward-looking indicators of Heilongjiang province,warning model for ...
Keywords:soybean producing  early warning index  the way of early warning  Heilongjiang Province  
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