景区生态容量微观仿真分析方法实证研究

为弥补常用的景区游客容量分析方法存在的不足，该文提出了基于游客空间行为模拟系统（TSBS）的微观仿真分析方法，分析了重庆仙女山国家森林公园的生态容量.将公园划分出若干生态容量监测区域，选取游客对草地的践踏作用强度作为监测指标，利用TSBS对游客空间行为、时空分布进行微观仿真，计算监测区域的游客践踏作用时间与次数，求出公园的生态容量，分析生态容量管理的关键区域，提出了提高生态容量的措施.研究表明，基于TSBS的游客生态容量分析方法具有动态、量化、管理效果可预测等优点. 

Positive study on the microsimulation based analysis method of the ecological carrying capacity of tourist resorts

In order to overcome the limitations of common methods in analyzing the carrying capacity of tourist resorts,the microsimulation analysis method based on Tourists' Spatial Behavior Simulator(TSBS) was presented.The ecological carrying capacity of Chongqing Fairy Mountain National Forest Park was analyzed.The authors designed monitoring zones of the ecological carrying capacity in the park,selected the intensity of tourists trampling on the meadows as the monitoring indicator,used TSBS to simulate the spatial behaviors and spatial temporal distribution of tourists,calculated the time and amount of tourists trampling in the monitoring zones,assessed the ecological carrying capacity of the park, determined which district would be the key in managing ecological carrying capacity,and then put forward some proposals to increase the ecological carrying capacity.The results show that the TSBS-based analysis method of carrying capacity is dynamic,quantifiable,and the effects of management is predictable.