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单因素土壤墒情预测模型研究
引用本文:王勇志,赵燕东,马扬飞. 单因素土壤墒情预测模型研究[J]. 灌溉排水学报, 2013, 32(2)
作者姓名:王勇志  赵燕东  马扬飞
作者单位:北京林业大学工学院,北京,100083
基金项目:北京市教育委员会共建项目建设计划科学研究与科研基地建设项目
摘    要:以土壤10、30、50cm深度处的土壤墒情各当前和历史数据不同组合为输入,以30cm处1h后的土壤墒情为预测输出,建立了基于BP神经网络的单因素土壤墒情预测模型。结果表明,模型预测误差约为10%,取得了较好的预测效果。

关 键 词:土壤墒情  BP网络  单因素  预测模型

The Study on Soil Moisture Forecast Model with Single Factor
Abstract:A soil moisture forecast model with single factor,based on BP neural network,was eatablished by taking different combinations of current and past soil moisture contents at a depth of 10 cm,30 cm and 50 cm as input,and the soil moisture content an hour later at a depth of 30 cm as output.Results showed that the prediction error was about 10%,and the forecast model obtained better forecasting results.It could provided a new way for the establishment of soil moisture prediction model,and laid the foundation for precision irrigation.
Keywords:soil moisture  BP network  single factor  forecast model
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