我国农村教育回报率变动及其涵义

利用2004和2007年2期的全国跟踪调查数据,通过扩展的Mincer工资模型回归发现,我国农村非农就业劳动力的教育回报率从6.6%～7.0%变为4.8%～6.3%,但是变动差异并不显著。更重要的发现是我国农村教育回报率递增的特点仍然存在并且愈加明显。从2004～2007年,初中及以下教育的回报率从3.5%～3.9%显著降低到0%～0.9%,而高中及以上教育的回报率从10.8%～11.7%增加到13.3%～13.8%。这种变动意味着,当前经济对劳动者教育层次的要求在不断提高,初中教育对提高劳动生产率和工资水平已经没有作用。

Changing of Returns to Education in Rural China and Its Implications

Based on the data obtained by the national tracking survey in 2004 and 2007,the paper finds out through an extended Mincer regression model that the returns to education of rural labor forces employed in non-agricultural industry has experienced a slight change from 6.6%-7.0% to 4.8%-6.3%.Another important find is that the increasing trend of returns to education in rural China still continues and is becoming even obvious.From 2004 to 2007,the returns to junior middle school or below education dropped signi...