| 经济快速发展地区县级尺度土地利用空间格局变化模拟 |
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| 引用本文： | 谭永忠,吴次芳,牟永铭,王庆日,余振国.经济快速发展地区县级尺度土地利用空间格局变化模拟[J].农业工程学报,2006,22(12):72-77. |
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| 作者姓名： | 谭永忠 吴次芳 牟永铭 王庆日 余振国 |
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| 作者单位： | 浙江大学公共管理学院土地管理系,杭州,310029;浙江省环境监测中心站,杭州,310012;中国土地勘测规划院,北京,100037;中国国土资源经济研究院,北京,101149 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家科技支撑计划项目;国家自然科学基金;浙江大学校科研和教改项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 选择位于长江三角洲地区社会经济快速发展的浙江省海盐县为研究区，利用1986年土地利用空间数据和影响研究区土地利用变化的驱动因子，运用CLUE-S模型，分别对其1995和2000年的土地利用空间变化格局进行模拟，经检验，模拟结果与实际情况基本吻合。在此基础上，对研究区未来20a的土地利用空间格局变化进行了3次不同情景的模拟。结果表明，县城周围、各中心镇、重点镇建成区周围以及主要公路干线沿线是耕地非农化的高发区，基本农田保护区的划定对耕地的保护具有重要意义。
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| 关 键 词： | 土地利用变化 空间格局模拟 CLUE-S模型 县级尺度 |
| 文章编号： | 1002-6819(2006)12-0072-06 |
| 收稿时间： | 2006-02-17 |
| 修稿时间： | 2006-10-19 |
Simulation of land use spatial pattern change on county scale in the rapid economic development region |
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| Tan Yongzhong,Wu Cifang,Mou Yongming,Wang Qingri and Yu Zhenguo.Simulation of land use spatial pattern change on county scale in the rapid economic development region[J].Transactions of the Chinese Society of Agricultural Engineering,2006,22(12):72-77. |
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| Authors: | Tan Yongzhong Wu Cifang Mou Yongming Wang Qingri and Yu Zhenguo |
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| Institution: | Department of Land Management, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou 310029, China;Department of Land Management, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou 310029, China;Zhejiang Environmental Monitoring Center, Hangzhou 310012, China;Institute of Land Surveying and Planning in China, Beijing 100037, China;Institute of Land Resources Economic in China, Beijing 101149, China |
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| Abstract: | Taking Haiyan county in Zhejiang Province being located in the Yangtze River Delta as an instance, the spatial change patterns of land use in 1995 and 2000 were simulated respectively with applying the CLUE-S model by using the spatial data of land use in 1986 and the driving factors affected land use change. The simulations coincide with the realities. Then, the spatial change patterns of land use in future 20 years were simulated three times by using the model. Results show that the areas around the county town and main towns and along the main highways are the main cultivated land non-agriculturalization areas. The delimitation of basic farmland protection area is important to the protection of cultivated land. |
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| Keywords: | land use change simulation of spatial pattern the CLUE-S model county scale |
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