Current models broadly neglect specific needs of biodiversity conservation in protected areas under climate change |
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Authors: | Mungla Sieck Pierre L Ibisch Kirk A Moloney Florian Jeltsch |
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Institution: | 1. Plant Ecology and Nature Conservation, University of Potsdam, Maulbeerallee 3, D-14469, Potsdam, Germany 2. Faculty of Forest and Environment, Eberswalde University for Sustainable Development (Univ. Appl. Sciences), Alfred-M?ller-Str. 1, D-16225, Eberswalde, Germany 3. Department of Ecology, Evolution and Organismal Biology, 253 Bessy Hall, Iowa State University, Ames, IA, 50011-1020, USA
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Abstract: | Background Protected areas are the most common and important instrument for the conservation of biological diversity and are called for
under the United Nations' Convention on Biological Diversity. Growing human population densities, intensified land-use, invasive species and increasing habitat fragmentation threaten
ecosystems worldwide and protected areas are often the only refuge for endangered species. Climate change is posing an additional
threat that may also impact ecosystems currently under protection. Therefore, it is of crucial importance to include the potential
impact of climate change when designing future nature conservation strategies and implementing protected area management.
This approach would go beyond reactive crisis management and, by necessity, would include anticipatory risk assessments. One
avenue for doing so is being provided by simulation models that take advantage of the increase in computing capacity and performance
that has occurred over the last two decades. |
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Keywords: | |
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