南海伏季休渔期秩序评估体系指标权重分析

为了对南海伏季休渔秩序进行评估,查阅文献收集伏季休渔秩序影响因素,利用德尔菲法筛选出符合南海伏季休渔秩序影响因素的指标,基于层次分析法分析、计算各评价指标的权重值,进行实例验证,综合评价各项指标对南海伏季休渔秩序的影响程度。结果表明：利用德尔菲法从收集的33评价指标中共筛选出28个符合南海伏季休渔期秩序评价标准;基于层次分析法计算权重得出一级指标权重中伏休相关人员(A1)(0.345)和伏休设施建设(A3)(0.370)所占权重较大,二级指标中执法设施(B6)(0.200)和渔民(B1)(0.193)所占权重较大。三级指标中执法经费(C16)(0.100)、执法装备(C17)(0.100)、 休渔期的补贴(C3)(0.087)、涉渔“三无船舶(C26)(0.072)及越南渔船的侵渔(0.052)所占比重较大;实例验证得出渔政执法经费、执法装备对目前南海伏休秩序具有关键性影响;渔民的休渔期补贴、涉渔“三无船舶”及越南渔船的侵渔对南海伏季休渔秩序具有较大影响。本研究在一定程度上揭示了各评价指标对南海伏季休渔期秩序的影响程度,可为规范我国南海伏季休渔期秩序,完善伏季休渔制度提供一定的参考。

Analysis of the index weights of the order evaluation system during the summer fishing moratorium in the South China Sea

In order to evaluate the order of the summer fishing moratorium in the South China Sea, this study reviewed plenty of literatures to collect the potential effect factors of summer fishing moratorium. The Delphi method was used to screen out indicators in the South China Sea, and the weight value of each evaluation index was analyzed and calculated based on the analytic hierarchy process. The influences of these factors were also verified by surveys. The results showed that 28 out of the 33 evaluation indicators were selected by the Delphi meeting the order evaluation criteria of the summer fishing period in the South China Sea. The results of analytic hierarchy process indicated that the related personnel (A₁,0.345) and the construction of the summer fishing moratorium facilities (A₃,0.370) of the first-level index weight were more weighted, while the law enforcement facilities (B₆,0.200) and fishermen (B₁,0.193) had larger weights among the second-level indicators. Among the three-level indicators, the law enforcement funds (C₁₆,0.100), the law enforcement equipment (C₁₇,0.100), subsidies for fishing moratoriums (C₃,0.087), illegal fishing of vessels without certification (C₂₆,0.072), and the invasion fishing of Vietnamese fishing vessels (C₂₇,0.052) accounted for a larger proportion. The case verification showed that fishery law enforcement funds and law enforcement equipment had key impacts on the current condition of summer fishing closure order in the South China Sea; Fishermen''s subsidies during the fishing moratorium, illegal fishing of vessels without certification and the invasion fishing of Vietnamese fishing vessels had a great impact on the order. To some extent, this study revealed the impact of each evaluation index on the summer fishing closure order, which can provide some reference for standardizing the order and improving the summer fishing closure system in the South China Sea.