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Combining scientific and stakeholder knowledge in future scenario development — A forest landscape case study in northern Sweden
Institution:1. Laboratoire d''Ecologie Appliquée, Faculté des sciences Agronomiques, Université d''Abomey-Calavi, 01 BP 526 Cotonou, Benin;2. Institut National des Recherches Agricoles du Bénin, 01 BP 884 Cotonou, Benin;3. Ecole Nationale Supérieure des Sciences Techniques Agronomiques de Djougou, BP 73 Djougou, Université de Parakou, Benin;4. Forestry Agroforestry and Biogeography Unit, University of Agriculture of Ketou, BP 43 Kétou, Benin;5. Abteilung für Biometrie und Umwelt system analyse, Albert-Ludwigs-Universität Freiburg, Tennebacher Str. 4, Freiburg 79085, Germany;1. Department of Forest Sciences, Viikki Tropical Resources Institute, University of Helsinki, Latokartanonkaari 7, P.O. Box 27, 00014 Helsinki, Finland;2. Center for International Forestry Research (CIFOR) — West Africa Regional Office (WARO), 06 P.O. Box 9478, Ouagadougou 06 Burkina Faso;3. CIFOR, P.O. Box 0113 BOCBD, Bogor 16000, Indonesia;4. Helsinki University Centre for Environment, HENVI, P.O. Box 65, Helsinki 00014, Finland;1. Department of Civil, Environmental and Mechanical Engineering, University of Trento, Via Mesiano 77, 38123 Trento, Italy;2. Leibniz Universität Hanover, Institute of Environmental Planning, Herrenhäuser Str. 2, 30419 Hanover, Germany;3. Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research – UFZ, Department Environmental Politics, Permoserstr. 15, 04318 Leipzig, Germany;1. Departments of Physical and Environmental Sciences and Political Science, University of Toronto Scarborough, 1265 Military Trail, Toronto, Ontario M1C1A4, Canada;2. Université de Moncton, Campus d''Edmundston, Faculté de foresterie, 165, boulevard Hébert, Edmundston, NB E3V 2S8, Canada
Abstract:Northern Swedish forests provide multiple ecosystem services. Integrating these values into the forest planning process frequently requires that not only forest owners but also other stakeholders be involved. The objective of this study is to assess the potential of future scenario development as a tool in forest planning. In a case study of the Vilhelmina municipality in northern Sweden, forest owners and stakeholders were interviewed, and a workshop was held to discuss important factors for the future development of the local landscape regarding ecological, socioeconomic and political issues. Combined with a researcher-conducted process, this resulted in three alternative scenarios. We conclude that the scenario development process has produced information that can be used in forest planning. The participatory element of the scenario development process could be extended further to enhance communication, learning and knowledge exchange. The participants' contribution to the scenario construction could also be elaborated, e.g., by further involving stakeholders in the formulation of alternative future manifestations and in the elaboration of scenarios. To achieve this, it is necessary to adapt the quantitative methods to the participatory situation, to foster discussion qualities, to secure representation and increase motivation for participation in different ways.
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