| 基于VAR的江西省种植业、林业、畜牧业和渔业的动态关系 |
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| 引用本文： | 周早弘,雷瑶,李淑英,喻荣,熊晓洪,尹泳兰. 基于VAR的江西省种植业、林业、畜牧业和渔业的动态关系[J]. 贵州农业科学, 2009, 37(11) |
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| 作者姓名： | 周早弘 雷瑶 李淑英 喻荣 熊晓洪 尹泳兰 |
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| 作者单位： | 江西财经大学,旅游与城市管理学院,江西,南昌,330032;江西省南昌市农业局,江西,南昌,330038;江西省统计局,江西,南昌,330045;江西省南昌市统计局,江西,南昌,330038;江西财经大学,图书馆,江西,南昌,330032 |
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| 基金项目： | 江西省第二次农业普查省级研究课题"农业综合生产能力研究"，2008年江西省软科学研究计划项目"农业综合生产能力研究""(2008ZD11000) 部分研究成果 |
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| 摘 要： | 利用江西省1992-2007年的种植业、林业、畜牧业、渔业产值指数,建立VAR模型,运用渐进分析法模拟的脉冲响应函数,研究江西省种植业、林业、畜牧业和渔业之间的动态关系.结果表明:种植业、林业产值不仅对来自自身的1个单位标准误差信息的反应最大,同时分别对渔业和畜牧业的冲击反应最大.而对各个行业产值与第一产业总产值之间的简单相关系数的分析也表明,在对第一产业总产值的贡献排名中,种植业排名居首位,其余排名顺序为畜牧业、渔业和林业.
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| 关 键 词： | 种植业 林业 畜牧业 渔业 动态关系 VAR 江西省 |
Study on Dynamic Relationship of Farming,Forestry,Animal Husbandry Fishery in Jiangxi Based on Vector Autoregressive Model(VAR) |
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| ZHOU Zao-hong,LEI Yao,LI Shu-ying,YU Rong,XIONG Xiao-hong,YIN Yong-lan. Study on Dynamic Relationship of Farming,Forestry,Animal Husbandry Fishery in Jiangxi Based on Vector Autoregressive Model(VAR)[J]. Guizhou Agricultural Sciences, 2009, 37(11) |
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| Authors: | ZHOU Zao-hong LEI Yao LI Shu-ying YU Rong XIONG Xiao-hong YIN Yong-lan |
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| Affiliation: | ZHOU Zao-hong1,LEI Yao1,LI Shu-ying4,YU Rong2,XIONG Xiao-hong3,YIN Yong-lan5(1.College of Tourism and Urban Management,Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics,Nanchang,Jiangxi 330032,2.Statistical Bureau of Jiangxi Province,Jiangxi 330045,3.Nanchang Statistical Bureau of Jiangxi Province,Jiangxi 330038,4.Nanchang Agricultural Bureau of Jiangxi Province,5.Library,China) |
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| Abstract: | Vector autoregressive model(VAR) was established by the output value index of farming,forestry,animalhusbandry,and fishery from 1992 to 2007 to study their dynamic relationship by using impulse response function simulated by asymptotic analysis in Jiangxi Province.The results showed that the output of farming and forestry has maximum response not only to the information of 1 unit standard error from itself,but also has maximum impulse response to fishery and animal husbandry.The analysis of simple correlati... |
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| Keywords: | VAR farming forestry animal husbandry fishery dynamic relationship vector autoregressive model (VAR) Jiangxi Province |
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