| PMVF综合集成预测方法及应用实例 |
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| 引用本文： | 尹红征,张荣,陈振,白洪远,刘斌. PMVF综合集成预测方法及应用实例[J]. 河南农业大学学报, 2007, 41(3): 342-345 |
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| 作者姓名： | 尹红征 张荣 陈振 白洪远 刘斌 |
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| 作者单位： | 河南农业大学信息与管理科学学院,河南,郑州,450002;河南农业大学信息与管理科学学院,河南,郑州,450002;南京航空航天大学经济与管理学院,江苏,南京,210016 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金(70473037)，河南省教育厅自然科学基金(2006120004) |
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| 摘 要： | 设计了一种PMVF综合集成预测方法.基于系统工程的思想,提出了PMVF综合集成预测方法的框架;重点介绍了该预测系统中的信息预处理(P)、预测模型(M)、效果检验(V)及预测反馈(F)等关键子模块.以上海市家庭上网户数预测为例,验证了其有效性.
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| 关 键 词： | 预测 PMVF 嵌入知识 模型 |
| 文章编号： | 1000-2340（2007）03-0342-04 |
| 收稿时间： | 2006-10-12 |
| 修稿时间： | 2006-10-12 |
A Meta-Synthesis Forecast Method with PMVF and Its Application Case |
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| YIN Hong-zheng,ZHANG Rong,CHEN Zhen,BAI Hong-yuan,LIU Bin. A Meta-Synthesis Forecast Method with PMVF and Its Application Case[J]. Journal of Henan Agricultural University, 2007, 41(3): 342-345 |
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| Authors: | YIN Hong-zheng ZHANG Rong CHEN Zhen BAI Hong-yuan LIU Bin |
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| Affiliation: | 1. College of Information and Management Science, Henan Agricultural University, Zhengzhou 450002, China; 2. College of Economics and Management, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing 210016, China |
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| Abstract: | This paper presents a new interactive human-machine system with PMVF.First,the framework for interactive human-machine forecast system with PMVF is developed based on the thoughts of systemectic engineering.Then,key modules of intelligent forecast system,such as Pretreatment of information(P),Modeling of forecasting(M),Verifying of forecasting precision(V) and Feedback of forecasting(F),are expatiated in detail.Finally,its validity is demonstrated with a case to forecast the total homes connected with Internet in Shanghai City. |
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| Keywords: | forecast PMVF knowledge-embedded model |
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