| 森林病虫害的灰色马尔柯夫预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 张斌,宿其连.森林病虫害的灰色马尔柯夫预测[J].吉林林学院学报,1996,12(2):116-120. |
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| 作者姓名： | 张斌 宿其连 |
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| 作者单位： | [1]吉林林学院森林工程系 [2]吉林省汪清县林业局 |
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| 摘 要： | 根据森林病虫害发生的面积具有趋势性和随机波动性特点，本文采用结合ＧＭ（１．１）模型与马尔柯夫预测技术的联合预测方法来进行森林病虫害的趋势性分析和状态预测，收到了良好的预测结果。
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| 关 键 词： | 森林病虫害 马尔柯夫 预测 GM模型 |
The Forecasting of the Grey-Markov to Insect and Diseases in Forest |
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| Authors: | Zhang Bin |
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| Abstract: | As spreading areas of insect and diseasos in forest have tendency and randomizing, this article hasadopted the modeI GM(1,1)and forecasting techniques of Markov to prejudge the trend and conditions in for-est-insect-diseases.And it has been achieved good results. |
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| Keywords: | Forest-insect-diseases Grey-Markov Model Forecasting of time Sequence |
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