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Metapopulation viability analysis of the greater glider Petauroides volans in a wood production area
Authors:HP Possingham  DB Lindenmayer  TW Norton  I Davies
Institution:

Department of Applied Mathematics, The University of Adelaide, Adelaide, SA 5005, Australia

Centre for Resource and Environmental Studies, The Australian National University, Canberra, ACT 0200, Australia

Ecosystem Dynamics Group, The Australian National University, Canberra, ACT 0200, Australia

Abstract:Successful forest wildlife management is dependent on information that estimates long-term viability of populations in response to different management practices. In this paper we couple information captured in a GIS database, relationships between habitat attributes and habitat quality, and the dynamics of those habitat attributes, to assess the long-term metapopulation viability of a forest-dependent arboreal marsupial, greater glider Petauroides volans Kerr, in the Ada Forest Block in south-eastern Australia. Estimates of the size and spatial distribution of populations in remnant patches of old-growth forest, and the dynamics of key elements of that habitat, are input to ALEX, a computer package for population viability analysis. The model is used to predict the probability of persistence of P. volans within the Ada Forest Block concentrating on scenarios that assess the value of different old-growth patches and the impact of wildfire. We conclude that small patches of old-growth forest ( <20 ha) make almost no contribution to the persistence of the species. In addition, control of wildfire will significantly increase the viability of the species in the remaining habitat.
Keywords:population viability  metapopulation  Geographic Information System  forest management  greater glider
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