| 临夏州马铃薯各生育期产量动态气候预测模型 |
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| 引用本文： | 黄成秀,尹宪志,孙玉莲,杨文凯,张淑芳.临夏州马铃薯各生育期产量动态气候预测模型[J].马铃薯杂志,2012(2):84-88. |
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| 作者姓名： | 黄成秀 尹宪志 孙玉莲 杨文凯 张淑芳 |
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| 作者单位： | 甘肃省临夏回族自治州气象局,甘肃临夏731100 |
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| 摘 要： | 利用1990-2009年20年气象资料,分析了临夏州马铃薯不同生长阶段所需气候条件,以及气候条件对马铃薯产量及其构成因素的影响。通过各生育期相关因子诊断和数据模拟,利用多元回归方程建立了马铃薯各生育期产量动态气候预测模型,实现马铃薯各生育期气象条件与单产的气候预测。
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| 关 键 词： | 马铃薯 生态 气候预测 |
Yield Prediction Model on Dynamic Climate for Each Period of Potato Growth in Linxia |
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| HUANG Chengxiu,YIN Xianzhi,SUN Yulian,YANG Wenkai,ZHANG Shufang.Yield Prediction Model on Dynamic Climate for Each Period of Potato Growth in Linxia[J].Chinese Potato Journal,2012(2):84-88. |
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| Authors: | HUANG Chengxiu YIN Xianzhi SUN Yulian YANG Wenkai ZHANG Shufang |
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| Institution: | (Meteorological Administration of Linxia,Linxia,Gansu 731100,China) |
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| Abstract: | Using the 20-year meteorological data from 1990 to 2009,we analyzed the climatic conditions required for different potato growth periods in Linxia,the influence on potato yield and its component from climatic conditions.By diagnosing the interrelated factors of each growth period and data simulation,we used polynary linear regressive equations to build the yield prediction model on dynamic climate for each potato growth period,achieving the prediction of the climatic conditions for each potato growth period and the potato yield. |
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| Keywords: | potato ecology climate prediction |
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