| 基于模糊综合评价法的桉树枝瘿姬小蜂虫害风险评估研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 彭伟,张旭,于新文,刘燕. 基于模糊综合评价法的桉树枝瘿姬小蜂虫害风险评估研究[J]. 林业资源管理, 2009, 0(4) |
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| 作者姓名： | 彭伟 张旭 于新文 刘燕 |
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| 作者单位： | 中国林业科学研究院,资源信息研究所,北京,100091;中国林业科学研究院,资源信息研究所,北京,100091;中国林业科学研究院,资源信息研究所,北京,100091;中国林业科学研究院,资源信息研究所,北京,100091 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家十一五科技支撑项目专题桉树培育、经营决策支持系统的研究与开发 |
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| 摘 要： | 为满足决策支持系统对桉树枝瘿姬小蜂虫害风险评估及获取量化结果的需要,根据已知桉树枝瘿姬小蜂生物学性状和传播规律,建立了桉树枝瘿姬小蜂虫害风险模糊评价体系,提出了基于模糊综合评价的虫害风险评估方法。利用该方法对广西黄冕林场一新增桉树项目进行了虫害风险评估,并分析了不同虫害预防措施的效果,所得结果与事实吻合。这表明,该方法是一种有效的桉树枝瘿姬小蜂虫害风险评估方法。
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| 关 键 词： | 模糊综合评价 风险评估 桉树枝瘿姬小蜂 黄冕林场 决策支持系统 |
Study on A Method of Comprehensive Fuzzy Evaluation of Leptocybe invasa's Disaster Risk |
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| PENG Wei,ZHANG Xu,YU Xinwen,LIU Yan. Study on A Method of Comprehensive Fuzzy Evaluation of Leptocybe invasa's Disaster Risk[J]. Forest Resources Management, 2009, 0(4) |
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| Authors: | PENG Wei ZHANG Xu YU Xinwen LIU Yan |
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| Abstract: | Aiming at risk assessment of Leptocybe invasa disaster and producing quantitative conclusion in DSS for Fast-growing plantation of eucalypt project,a system of comprehensive evaluation is built which is based on the study of biological characters and diffusion rules,and a method of comprehensive fuzzy evaluation is proposed.The conclusions meet facts well when using the method for risk assessment and analysis for effect of different measures of preventing pest disaster to a new project in Huangmian Forest Farm.It indicates that the method is effective for risk assessment of Leptocybe invasa disaster. |
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| Keywords: | fuzzy comprehensive evaluation risk assessment Leptocybe invasa Huangmian plantations DSS |
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