基于格兰杰因果检验的陕西省国际旅游消费与地区经济增长关系研究

改革开放以来,陕西省的国际旅游消费与国民生产总值均获得了快速的发展。文中依据1978-2008年的相关统计数据,采用Eviews6.0软件,运用协整分析和格兰杰因果关系方法检验两者之间的关系,并建立两者间的推拉关系模型。研究结果显示：陕西国际旅游消费与地方经济存在着协整关系,且国际旅游消费是地方经济增长的原因;陕西国际...

A granger causality analysis on tourism and economic growth of Shaanxi

Since reform and opening,Shaanxi Province gained rapid development in both tourism and economy.Based on relevant statistics data in 1978-2008,using Eviews6.0 software,the authors applied cointegration and Granger causality to test the relationship between tourism and economy,and establish a push and pull model which is about tourism and economic.The results showed that: ①there is cointegration between the development of tourism and the local economy in Shaanxi,that is,a long-term stable relationship exists among inbound tourism,domestic tourism and GDP;② inbound tourism and domestic tourism are the reasons of GDP growth that can promote the development of tourism in Shaanxi,and inbound tourism for promoting economic development in Shaanxi Province is better than that of domestic tourism;③ the gross national product increase is the reason of domestic tourism growth,not the reason for the growth of inbound tourism,local economic development stimulates the domestic tourism obviously.