从宏观和微观两个角度看动物疫病风险结构

根据病因学理论和动物疫病发生和传播机理，探讨了动物疫病的宏观风险结构和微观风险结构。分析了包括病原危险性、宿主易感性和环境影响等因素的动物疫病风险宏观结构以及包括病原风险、遗传性宿主风险、获得性宿主风险、自然环境风险、社会环境风险、政策性风险、经济性风险和畜牧业发展风险等因素的动物疫病风险微观结构。为深入探讨动物疫病风险分析与管理的具体方法及防疫对策提供了总体研究框架与思路。

Macro-and micro-scopic view of animal disease risk structure

According to theories of etiology and mechanisms of outbreak and transmission of animal diseases, macro-level and micro-level animal disease risk structures were explored. The macrostructure of animal disease risks composed of pathogen hazard, host susceptibility and environment influence and the microstructure including pathogen risk, genetic host risk, acquired host risk, natural environment risk, social environment risk, policy risk, economy risk and husbandry development risk were analyzed systemically. The study provided general frameworks and ideas for deep research of concrete methods in animal disease risk analysis and risk management.