| 湖北省家蚕微粒子病流行规律分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 吴洪丽,郝瑜,李祖发,孙波,叶建美. 湖北省家蚕微粒子病流行规律分析[J]. 北方蚕业, 2013, 0(4): 24-26 |
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| 作者姓名： | 吴洪丽 郝瑜 李祖发 孙波 叶建美 |
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| 作者单位： | [1]湖北省农业科学院经济作物研究所,武汉430070 [2]湖北省农业厅经济作物站,武汉430048 |
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| 基金项目： | 湖北省科技厅“十一”重点攻关项目;湖北省农业科技创新中心资助项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 采用回归分析的方法，对湖北省及6个下属蚕种场1993—2012年蚕种生产检验数据进行统计分析，发现蚕种生产量与超毒率存在正相关的关系，并建立数学模型，推导不同蚕种场较安全的蚕种生产规模临界值，避免因蚕种生产量过大导致微粒子病暴发的危险。
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| 关 键 词： | 家蚕微粒子病 流行规律数学模型 |
Analysis of Epidemic Regularity of Pebrine Disease of Silkworm in Hubei Province |
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| Affiliation: | WU Hong ,Hao Yu ,I.i Zufa ,Sun Bo ,Ye Janmei ,Xu Shuqong ,Zhou Hongying ,Fan Jin＇ Institme of Economic Crops. Hubei Academy of Agricultural Sciences,Wuhan 430070,China; Station of Economic Crops, Hubei Provincial Agriculture Department, Wuhan 430048,China) |
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| Abstract: | In this study, a regression analysis was conducted to analyze the data of silkworm egg production and in- spection. The data came from 6 silkworm egg stations in Hubei province from 1993 to 2012, The result suggests the silkworm egg production and super virus rate are positively related. To avoid the outbreak of pebrine disease, a ma＊hematics model was established, which could deduce the critical value of safe silkworm egg production in different silkworm egg farms. |
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| Keywords: | silkworm pebrine disease ~ epidemic regularity mathematics model |
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