| 人民币汇率升值对农产品进出口的影响——以江苏省的实证检验为例 |
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| 引用本文： | 吴钧.人民币汇率升值对农产品进出口的影响——以江苏省的实证检验为例[J].安徽农业科学,2009,37(7):3247-3249. |
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| 作者姓名： | 吴钧 |
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| 作者单位： | 淮阴师范学院经济与管理系,江苏淮安,223001 |
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| 摘 要： | 根据弹性分析理论,在符合“马歇尔-勒纳”条件时,汇率升值具有促进进口、抑制出口的作用。通过构建计量经济学模型对2005~2007年江苏省农产品进出口贸易与人民币汇率的相关数据进行实证检验。结果表明,人民币汇率升值导致江苏省农产品进口显著增加,但短期内尚未对江苏省农产品的出口贸易造成显著的不利影响。最后,进一步对实证结果作出分析并指出了相应的政策含义。
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| 关 键 词： | 人民币汇率 农产品进出口 弹性分析理论 江苏省 |
Influences of RMB Exchange Rate's Appreciation on the Import & Export of Agricultural Products |
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| WU Jun.Influences of RMB Exchange Rate's Appreciation on the Import & Export of Agricultural Products[J].Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences,2009,37(7):3247-3249. |
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| Authors: | WU Jun |
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| Institution: | WU Jun(Department of Economy , Management,Huaiyin Teachers College,Huaian,Jiangsu 223001) |
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| Abstract: | According to the elasticity analysis theory,if 'Marshall-Lerner' condition can be meet,exchange rate's appreciation would promote import and restrain export.Empirical test of the import & export of agricultural products statistical data from Jiangsu Province and the RMB exchange rate was made by constructing the econometric model.The results showed that the RMB appreciation had caused the import of agricultural products to increase in Jiangsu Province,but the negative impact on the export of agricultural pr... |
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| Keywords: | RMB exchange rate Import & export of agricultural products The elasticity analysis theory Jiangsu Province |
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