我国城乡居民边际消费倾向差异分析

消费需求不足一直是中国经济增长面临的结构性瓶颈。从计量经济模型出发,检验了中国城乡居民边际消费倾向的差异,并提出中国城镇居民边际消费倾向大于农村居民边际消费倾向,但城镇居民边际消费倾向有下降的趋势,而农村居民边际消费倾向有上升的趋势。造成城镇居民、农村居民边际消费倾向变化的原因是：城乡收入结构、消费结构、耐用消费品消费三方面因素存在差异。总之,刺激中国消费需求增长的重心在于提高农村居民消费需求。

The Empirical Analysis of Difference of Urban-rural Residents' Marginal Propensity to Consume

The shortage of domestic consumption demand is always the structural bottleneck confronted by China's economic growth.By using econometric model,this paper tests the difference of marginal propensity to consume of China's urban-rural residents.The results show that the urban residents' marginal propensity to consume is greater than rural residents' marginal propensity to consume in China,but the urban residents' marginal propensity to consume tends to decline,while the rural residents' marginal propensity to consume tends to rise.The factor responsible for the change of urban-rural residents' marginal propensity to consume is as follows: there is a difference in terms of urban-rural income structure,consumption structure and consumption of consumer durables.In a nutshell,the key of spurring increase of China's consumption demand is to expand consumption demand of rural residents.