农业信贷对四川省农业现代化发展水平的贡献度研究

投资是传统农业向现代农业转变的前提条件。本研究对四川省农业信贷的总体规模与结构进行分析,通过建立阿尔蒙有限分布滞后模型测算农业信贷对四川农业现代化发展水平的贡献度。研究发现,四川省金融机构农业贷款对全省农业现代化发展水平的提高具有强大的推动作用,这种推动作用不仅表现在当年,而且对后期仍然具有较强的作用,且远期效用较当年的大。

Contribution Degree of Agricultural Credit to the Development Level of Agricultural Modernization of Sichuan Province

Investment is a precondition for the transformation from traditional agriculture into modernized agriculture. In this paper, the scale and structure of Sichuan＇s agricultural credit have been discussed, and the contribution degree of agricultural credit to the development level of agricultural modernization in Sichuan was measured by establishing the Almon limited distribution lag model. The resuhs showed that the whole province＇s agricultural credit of financial institutions had a powerful role in promoting the development level of agricultural modernization in Sichuan. The powerful driving role appeared not only in the current year, but in the late, and the long-term utility was more powerful.