| 鄂尔多斯地区猪瘟流行与气象要素的关系分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 王前,孙敏,段景瑞.鄂尔多斯地区猪瘟流行与气象要素的关系分析[J].安徽农业科学,2011(11):6405-6406,6408. |
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| 作者姓名： | 王前 孙敏 段景瑞 |
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| 作者单位： | 内蒙古鄂尔多斯市气象局;内蒙古乌审旗气象局; |
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| 基金项目： | 内蒙古自治区气象局科技创新项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 采用相关分析和多元逐步回归分析法,确定鄂尔多斯地区猪瘟的发病风险月以及与猪瘟发病率相关的气象要素,并利用显著相关的气象要素对该地区猪瘟发病风险月内猪瘟的月发病率进行预测。结果表明,该地区猪瘟发病风险为3、4、5、8、9、10月;在发病风险月内,猪瘟月发病率与月平均最高气温月较差绝对值、极端最高气温月较差绝对值呈极显著正相关,与月平均风速、气温月较差绝对值、极端最低气温月较差绝对值和蒸发量月较差绝对值呈显著正相关。
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| 关 键 词： | 鄂尔多斯 猪瘟 气象要素 |
Analysis on the Correlation between Prevalence of Swine Plague and Meteorological Elements in Erdos Region |
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| WANG Qian et al.Analysis on the Correlation between Prevalence of Swine Plague and Meteorological Elements in Erdos Region[J].Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences,2011(11):6405-6406,6408. |
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| Authors: | WANG Qian |
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| Institution: | WANG Qian et al(Erdos Meteorological Bureau of Inner Mongolia,Erdos,Inner Mongolia 017000) |
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| Abstract: | Using correlation analysis and multielement gradual regressive analysis,the onset risk months of swine plague in Erdos region and the meteorological elements related to its incidence rate were confirmed and its monthly incidence rates in onset risk months in this region were predicted by utilizing significantly correlated meteorological elements.The results showed that the onset risk months of swine plague in this region were Mar.,Apr.,May,Aug.,Sep.and Oct.;in these months,its monthly incidence rate showed ... |
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| Keywords: | Erdos Swine plague Meteorological elements |
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