河北省农村居民人均收入与消费水平影响因素分析——基于协整检验

对1999～2008年河北省农村居民人均收入和消费支出的有关数据进行了协整检验,通过两者之间的动态关系研究发现,农村居民人均收入与消费支出有长期的均衡关系,据此建立了农民人均收入和消费支出之间的长期均衡模型。结果显示,收入是决定居民消费需求的基本因素,且现在收入的增长对消费的增长具有很重要的影响;政府应制定合理的政策,建立社会保障网,改变消费观念等方式从根本上解除农民的后顾之忧,最终达到增加农民收入的结果,促进农村地区经济的持续稳定健康发展。

Influence Factor Analysis of Hebei Province Rural Residents' Per Capita Income and Consumption Level

Through the co-integration test of the rural residents' per capita income and consumption expenditure data of 1999-2008 of Hebei province,and the dynamic relationship between them,we found that rural residents' per capita income and consumption expenditure have a long-term equilibrium,and according to it,between a farmer income per capita and consumer spending the long-term equilibrium model is set up in this paper.Results show that income is the basic factor which decides to residents of consumer demand,an...