城市用地扩张驱动力分析--以湖北省为例

采用较为翔实的资料,在对湖北省从1996~2003年城市土地扩张的基本态势进行分析的基础上,对湖北省城市用地扩张的驱动力分别进行了单因素和多因素的分析。结果表明,经济发展与城市人口的增长是湖北省城市用地扩张的主要驱动力,同时还运用偏相关分析的方法进一步了指出经济发展与城市人口增长哪个变量对城市用地的扩张更具有解释力。

An Analysis of Driving Forces of Urban Land Expansion--A Case Study of Hubei Province

The authors analyze the processes of urban expansion and quantify its relationship with economic development,population growth,science and technology,urban infrastructure and foreign investments during the last 8 years in Hubei Province,using single factor and multifactor analysis approaches.The results show that the total urban land areas are linearly increased in the last 8 years,and highly related to the growth of GDP and urban population of the province.Meanwhile,it points out the more detailed results:development of economy can better explain the expansion of urban land use than urban population;the economy development is the strongest driving force on the urban land expansion,it can not only directly drive the expansion of urban land use,but also indirectly affect it through urban population and urban development.