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木榄林生物量的灰色动态预测
引用本文:廖宝文,郑德璋,郑松发,陈步峰.木榄林生物量的灰色动态预测[J].林业科学研究,1991,4(4):360-367.
作者姓名:廖宝文  郑德璋  郑松发  陈步峰
作者单位:中国林业科学研究院热带林业研究所 (廖宝文,郑德璋,郑松发),中国林业科学研究院热带林业研究所(陈步峰)
摘    要:

关 键 词:木榄林  生物量  灰色动态  预测
收稿时间:1990/4/25 0:00:00

The Grey Dynamic Forecast of the Biomass of Bruguiera gymnorrhiza Stand
Liao Baowen,Zheng Dezhang,Zheug Songfa and Chen Bufeng.The Grey Dynamic Forecast of the Biomass of Bruguiera gymnorrhiza Stand[J].Forest Research,1991,4(4):360-367.
Authors:Liao Baowen  Zheng Dezhang  Zheug Songfa and Chen Bufeng
Institution:The Research Institute oj Tropical Forestry CAF
Abstract:Based on the data of biomass and stem analysis of 20-year-old Bruguiera gymnorrhiza, the grey model(1,1) in the grey system theory is used to forecast the individual organ biomass of the tree and their precisions predicted of the grey model(1,1) are compared with those of the nonlinear regressive equation. The results show that grey model(1,1) can be used to predict accurately but the nonlinear regressive equation, owing to the existing major error, can not be applied. Biomass forecast in the near future is made in order to provide a theoretical basis for managing and utilizing Bruguiera gymnorrhiza stand rationally.
Keywords:Bruguiera gymnorrhiza stand  biomass  grey model(1  1)  forecast
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