安徽省城镇化和乡村韧性之间的空间关系研究

基于2000年、2005年、2010年、2015年和2020年面板数据,探究安徽省城镇化和乡村韧性水平时空特征,并运用空间自相关模型及空间回归模型分析城镇化和乡村韧性之间的空间关系。结果表明:研究期间安徽省城镇化和乡村韧性水平总体呈现上升趋势;城镇化和乡村韧性具有空间相关性,且2005年之后各县域乡村韧性对城镇化的空间依赖性不断加强;乡村韧性不仅受到自身城镇化及乡村韧性要素的影响,而且受到邻近单元或者更远单元城镇化及乡村韧性要素的影响。研究结果可为安徽省乡村可持续发展提供一定思路。

A Study on the Spatial Relationship between Urbanization and Rural Resilience in Anhui Province

Based on panel data from 2000, 2005, 2010, 2015 and 2020,this paper explores the spatio-temporal characteristics of urbanization and rural resilience levels in Anhui Province, and uses the spatial autocorrelation model and spatial regression model to analyze the spatial relationship between urbanization and rural resilience. The results show that the overall level of urbanization and rural resilience in Anhui Province shows an upward trend during the study period. Urbanization and rural resilience have a spatial correlation, and the spatial dependence of rural resilience on urbanization in various counties has been increasing since 2005. Moreover, rural resilience is not only affected by its own urbanization and rural resilience factors, but also by urbanization and rural resilience factors of adjacent or more distant unit. The research results can provide certain references for the sustainable development of rural areas in Anhui Province.