基于马尔科夫过程的大型机组三状态可靠性研究

目的研究大型机组系统的可用度,在一定程度上对大型机组可靠性管理工作水平提供理论依据.方法利用马尔科夫过程理论,提出了大型机组三状态可靠性模型,根据Chapman-Kolmogorov方程,建立了线性方程组.结果通过求解方程组,绘制出状态转移图,计算出系统处于各种状态下的概率和系统可用度.结论根据大型机组处于三状态的概率...

On Reliability of Three-state Generator System Based on Markov Process

Objective The availability of large unit systems,to some extent provides a theoretical basis for the reliable management level of large units.Methods Using Markov process theory,the paper proposed a three-state reliability model of large-scale units.According to Chapman-Kolmogorov equation a system of linear equations was established.Results The system drew the state diagram and calculated the probability at all state and system availability by solving the equations.Conclusion According to large-scale units in the three-state probability,corresponding availability are obtained by further drawing into the data to provide method basis for the maintenance and management.