| 生猪供需系统波动现象成因机理的动力学研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 张火法,陈秉钧. 生猪供需系统波动现象成因机理的动力学研究[J]. 农业工程学报, 1996, 12(2): 126-130 |
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| 作者姓名： | 张火法 陈秉钧 |
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| 作者单位： | 浙江省农业厅畜牧局;浙江农业大学工程技术学院 |
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| 摘 要： | 综合运用系统动力学等理论与方法，建立了生猪供需系统的因果反馈结构。首次完整地描述了该系统中特有的经济现象———随机性与恒、远期波动行为。最后，以浙江省为例，藉助系统仿真对文中提出的周期波动现象给予了定量论证
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| 关 键 词： | 生猪供需 波动 系统 动力学 |
| 收稿时间： | 1995-03-20 |
Dynamics Study on Forming Mechanism of Fluctuation Phenomenon in Hogs Supply Demand System |
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| Zhang Huo-fa and Chen Bing-jun. Dynamics Study on Forming Mechanism of Fluctuation Phenomenon in Hogs Supply Demand System[J]. Transactions of the Chinese Society of Agricultural Engineering, 1996, 12(2): 126-130 |
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| Authors: | Zhang Huo-fa and Chen Bing-jun |
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| Abstract: | Causal effect feedback structure of hogs supply demand system was established by applying theories and approaches of system dynamics,etc. The special economic fluctuation behavior, e.i., stochastic type, permanent type, forward type, existing in the system was first described in integrative way. Then, taking that system in Zhejiang Province as example, with system simulation, the periodic fluctuation phenomenon was quantitatively demonstrated. |
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| Keywords: | Hogs Supply demand fluctuation System dynamics |
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