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黑龙江省城镇居民消费的灰色分析
引用本文:王文龙,高春雨,汤岩. 黑龙江省城镇居民消费的灰色分析[J]. 东北农业大学学报, 2008, 39(2): 257-260
作者姓名:王文龙  高春雨  汤岩
作者单位:东北林业大学理学院,哈尔滨,150040;东北农业大学理学院,哈尔滨,150030
摘    要:文章分析了黑龙江省城镇居民消费的现实情况,介绍了灰色系统理论的相关内容,对GM(1,1)预测模型进行了详细的阐述。在此基础上对现有数据进行分析,指出黑龙江省的城镇居民消费需求呈现由生存型向发展型和享受型过渡的趋势。

关 键 词:GM(1,1)模型  预测  消费
文章编号:1005-9369(2008)02-0257-04
收稿时间:2006-04-13
修稿时间:2006-04-13

Grey system analysis on urban residents'consumption of Heilongjiang Province
WANG Wenlong,GAO Chunyu,TANG Yan. Grey system analysis on urban residents'consumption of Heilongjiang Province[J]. Journal of Northeast Agricultural University, 2008, 39(2): 257-260
Authors:WANG Wenlong  GAO Chunyu  TANG Yan
Abstract:This paper analyzed the condition that the urban residents consume,and gave an explanation to consumption pattern′s basic connotation.The related content of grey systems theory was introduced,and GM(1,1)model was carried on the detailed elaboration.Based on this foundation,according to the data analysis result,the paper pointed out that the concume requirements of urban residents in Heilongjiang Provice tended to change from surviving type to the developing and enjoying type.
Keywords:GM(1,1) model  forecast  consumption
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