| 新疆未来人口发展趋势研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 吐热尼古丽·阿木提,阿里木江·阿不来提.新疆未来人口发展趋势研究[J].干旱区资源与环境,2011(4):9-15. |
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| 作者姓名： | 吐热尼古丽·阿木提 阿里木江·阿不来提 |
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| 作者单位： | 新疆师范大学地理科学与旅游学院;中国科学院新疆生态与地理研究所;中国科学院研究生院;新疆师范大学法经学院; |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金项目(编号:40761008)资助 |
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| 摘 要： | 人口因素是社会经济发展的重要因素,人口的增长趋势将影响到未来社会经济的可持续发展.根据2000年新疆人口普查资料,采用队列法、Gm(1,1)模型对新疆2010年至2040年人口结构进行预测,分析新疆未来人口发展趋势及社会影响,并对相关问题提出了针对性的政策建议.
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| 关 键 词： | 新疆 人口 发展趋势 |
The future population development in Xinjiang |
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| Turangul Hamut,Alimjan Ablat.The future population development in Xinjiang[J].Journal of Arid Land Resources and Environment,2011(4):9-15. |
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| Authors: | Turangul Hamut Alimjan Ablat |
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| Institution: | Turangul Hamut1,2,3,Alimjan Ablat4(1.College of Geographic Science and Tourism,Xinjiang Normal University,Urumqi 830054,P.R.China,2.Institute of Ecology and Geography,Chinese Academy of science,Urumqi 830011,3.Graduate institute of Chinese academy of science,Beijing 10049,4.College of Law and Economics,P.R.China) |
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| Abstract: | Population is a major factor in socio-economic development.Population growth trend of Xinjiang would affect the sustainable development of economics.We used stacking method and GM(1,1) model on the basis of data acquired from the statistics material of Xinjiang to predict the total population trend,age and population structure of Xinjiang,then analyzed its features. |
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| Keywords: | Xinjiang population development trend |
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