Forest responses to CO2 enrichment and climate warming

Two of the major uncertainties in forecasting future terrestrial sources and sinks of CO₂ are the CO₂-enhanced growth response of forests and soil warming effects on net CO₂ efflux from forests. Carbon dioxide enrichment of tree seedlings over time periods less than 1 yr has generally resulted in enhanced rates of photosynthesis, decreased respiration, and increased growth, with minor increases in leaf area and small changes in C allocation. Exposure of woody species to elevated CO₂ over several years has shown that high rates of photosynthesis may be sustained, but net C accumulation may not necessarily increase if CO₂ release from soil respiration increases. The impact of the 25% rise in atmospheric CO₂ with industrialization has been examined in tree ring chronologies from a range of species and locations. In contrast to the seedling tree results, there is no convincing evidence for CO₂-enhanced stem growth of mature trees during the last several decades. However, if mature trees show a preferential root growth response to CO₂ enrichment, the gain in root mass for an oak-hickory forest in eastern Tennessee is estimated to be only 9% over the last 40 years. Root data bases are inadequate for detecting such an effect. A very small shift in ecosystem nutrients from soil to vegetation could support CO₂-enhanced growth. Climate warming and the accompanying increase in mean soil temperature could have a greater effect than CO₂ enrichment on terrestrial sources and sinks of CO₂. Soil respiration and N mineralization have been shown to increase with soil temperature. If plant growth increases with increased N availability, and more C is fixed in growth than is released by soil respiration, then a negative feedback on climate warming will occur. If warming results in a net increase in CO₂ efflux from forests, then a positive feedback will follow. A 2 to 4°C increase in soil temperature could increase CO₂ efflux from soil by 15 to 32% in eastern deciduous forests. Quantifying C budget responses of forests to future global change scenarios will be speculative until mature tree responses to CO₂ enrichment and the effects of temperature on terrestrial sources and sinks of CO₂ can be determined.