中澳农产品贸易实证分析

近十年，中澳两国农产品双边贸易增长迅速，但发展不平衡；双边农产品贸易结构以两国自然禀赋为基础；中国进口澳大利亚农产品增长迅速，但占比增长缓慢。利用贸易专业化、产业内贸易及显性比较优势等理论与指数工具，对2003年至2012年中澳农产品贸易数据进行系统分析，研究结果显示，两国双边农产品贸易竞争性弱、互补性强；两国农产品以产业间贸易为主，产业内贸易程度不高；两国农产品在国际市场上竞争力中弱澳强，不平衡局面很难改变。

An Empirical Analysis of Agricultural Products Trade between China and Australia

In recent ten years, the bilateral trade of agricultural products between China and Australia increased rapidly, but the development is not balanced. The structure of bilateral trade of agricultural products is based on their natural endowment. The importing of Australian agricultural products by China increased rapidly, but with a slow growth in proportion of the whole import. Based on the theory and index tools of specialization, intra industry trade and revealed comparative advantage, this paper analyzes the trade data between China and Australia from 2003 to 2012 systematically. The results show that the competition of bilateral agricultural products trade between the two countries is weak, while the complementarity is strong; the trade of agricultural products between the two countries is mainly the inter industry trade, and the level of the intra industry trade is not high; and the competitiveness of Australia is stronger than China in the international market, which is difficult to change.