| 广州地区十字花科菜田斜纹夜蛾发生量预测模型研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 包华理,虞皓,陈伟平,朱天圣,王少毅,何文彪,蔡丽娟,孔文辉.广州地区十字花科菜田斜纹夜蛾发生量预测模型研究[J].广东农业科学,2007(4):51-54. |
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| 作者姓名： | 包华理 虞皓 陈伟平 朱天圣 王少毅 何文彪 蔡丽娟 孔文辉 |
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| 作者单位： | 广东省农科院植物保护研究所,广东,广州,510640;广州市农业标准与监测中心,广东,广州,510308;广州市番禺区蔬菜科学研究所,广东,番禺,511400;从化市农业科学研究所,广东,从化,510900 |
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| 基金项目： | 广东省广州市科技攻关项目
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广州市蔬菜办公室资助项目
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国家攻关食品安全关键技术-广东示范区项目
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广东省农业科技攻关项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 1997～2004年在广州市郊5个代表性的地点监测,以十字花科蔬菜田间斜纹夜蛾虫口基数、灯诱虫量和气象因素为预报因子,组建广州地区夏、秋季十字花科菜田斜纹夜蛾发生量预测预报回归模型,应用模型进行发生量预测.经2003、2004年试用检验,预报结果达到准确范围.
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| 关 键 词： | 十字花科蔬菜 斜纹夜蛾 预测模型 蔬菜害虫测报 |
| 文章编号： | 1004-874X(2007)04-0051-04 |
| 修稿时间： | 2007-02-07 |
Study on the predictive model for Spodoptera litura population on Cruciferous vegetables in Guangzhou |
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| BAO Hua-li,YU Hao,CHEN Wei-ping,ZHU Tian-sheng,WANG Shao-yi,HE Wen-biao,CAI Li-juan,KONG Wen-hui.Study on the predictive model for Spodoptera litura population on Cruciferous vegetables in Guangzhou[J].Guangdong Agricultural Sciences,2007(4):51-54. |
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| Authors: | BAO Hua-li YU Hao CHEN Wei-ping ZHU Tian-sheng WANG Shao-yi HE Wen-biao CAI Li-juan KONG Wen-hui |
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| Institution: | 1. Plant Protection Research Institute, Guangdong Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Guangzhou 510640, China; 2. Guangzhou Agricultural Standard and Supervisory Center, Guangzhou 510308, China; 3. Panyu Vegetable Research Institute, Panyu 511400, China; 4. Conghua Research Institute of Agricultural Sciences, Conghua 510900, China |
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| Abstract: | In this paper,a predictive model was established by regressing the major factors against the population level using data from the suburb cruciferous vegetables fileds of Guangzhou from 1997 to 2004.To test its validity,the model was used to predict the population level of the pest in 2003 and 2004.The prediction from the model coincided well with the actual level of the pest population. |
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| Keywords: | Cruciferous vegetables Spodoptera litura predictive model vegetable pest management |
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