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黄淮海平原土地系统结构变化的模拟与分析
引用本文:邓祥征,战金艳,苏红波,姜群鸥,迟百余. 黄淮海平原土地系统结构变化的模拟与分析[J]. 农业科学与技术, 2007, 8(3): 45-52
作者姓名:邓祥征  战金艳  苏红波  姜群鸥  迟百余
作者单位:[1]中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所,北京100101 [2]中国科学院农业政策研究中心,北京100101 [3]北京师范大学环境学院,北京100875 [4]中南大学地学与环境工程学院,湖南长沙410083 [5]山东师范大学人口资源与环境学院,山东济南250014
基金项目:国家自然科学基金 , the Knowledge Innovation Project of Chinese Academy of Scienecs , the National Project of scientifie and Technical Supporting Programs , scientifie and Technical Supporting Programs , international cooperation program of science and technology ministry
摘    要:通过发展土地系统结构变化模型(DLS模型),以黄淮海平原为典型区,探索1988~2000年土地系统结构变化规律、驱动机理,模拟黄淮海平原不同情景下土地系统结构变化的可能趋势。

关 键 词:Land  Land system  Land system structure  Land system structure change  Land use  Dynamic simulation  Huang-Huai-Hai Plain  黄淮海  平原  土地系统  结构变化  模拟与分析  Area  Plain  Changes  System Structure  Land  Analysis  primary  increase  decline  cultivated land  ecological  protection  economic development  different  standard
修稿时间:2007-10-31

Simulation and Analysis of Land System Structure Changes in Huang-Huai-Hai Plain Area
DENG Xiang-zheng,ZHAN Jin-yan,SU Hong-bo,JIANG Qu-nou,CHI Bai-yu. Simulation and Analysis of Land System Structure Changes in Huang-Huai-Hai Plain Area[J]. Agricultural Science & Technology, 2007, 8(3): 45-52
Authors:DENG Xiang-zheng  ZHAN Jin-yan  SU Hong-bo  JIANG Qu-nou  CHI Bai-yu
Abstract:The dynamic changes of land system in Huang-Huai-Hai Plain between 1988 and 2000 were researched in this paper. Spatial dominance econometric model was estabilished on 1 km cell to quantificationally analyze the driving-force for the dynamic change mechanism of land system,such as natural,social and economic factors. The future dyllamic changes of land system in Huang-Huai-Hai Plain on each 1 km cell during2000 to 2020 were stimalated by oombining the dynamic changes of land system On each 1 km cell with difierent situations.The research indieated that the dynamic changes of land system structure changed mainly from the cuhivated areas to building areas and indnstrial arcas,and forest areas inereased during this period.Although the gevolutions of land system structure were different during 2000 to 2020 with the different referrence standard,ecological protection and economic development.the primary dynamic changes of land system structure were that the increase of building land aneas with the decline cultivated land areas and the inerease of woodlands.
Keywords:Land  Land system  Land system structure  Land system structure change  Land use  Dynamic simulation  Huang-Huai-Hai Plain
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