Risk factors for ovine Johne's disease in infected sheep flocks in Australia

We conducted a cross-sectional study in 2004-2005 to investigate risk factors for ovine Johne's disease (OJD) involving 92 infected Merino sheep flocks in Australia. In each enrolled flock we collected pooled faecal-samples from 3- to 5-year-old sheep and cultured them for Mycobacterium avium subsp. paratuberculosis (MAP) to determine their OJD status. Based on pooled faecal-culture (PFC) results, three outcome variables representing different facets of disease biology were derived: pool OJD status (binomial: positive or negative), log pool MAP number (continuous) and cohort OJD prevalence level (ordinal: low (<2%), medium (2-10%) and high (>10%) prevalence). We used these outcomes in three separate multivariable analyses to identify risk factors, which were based on a questionnaire administered during a face-to-face interview with the farmer. We found higher OJD infection in sheep whose dams had been in poor condition and kept at a high stocking rate during lambing and in sheep which had experienced a longer period of growth retardation during their lifetime. Flocks that had vaccinated for >2 years (rather than only 1-2 years) with a killed MAP vaccine had significantly lower OJD infection. In addition, practices including culling low body weight sheep or selling sub-flocks experiencing high losses, sharing of roads between neighbouring farms, and greater frequency of application of super phosphate fertilizers were associated with higher OJD. Of the confounders investigated, infection was higher in flocks experiencing high mortalities; in wethers compared to ewes; and in 3-year-old sheep compared to 4-year-old sheep.