2019年度国内小麦市场形势展望

2019年,国内小麦市场在供需总体宽松、政策调控利空、生产形势不乐观等综合影响下,价格呈现偏弱走低态势。随着下半年新产小麦收获上市的临近,小麦市场购销也将迎来新的发展格局,市场各方关注的焦点已经转移到新一季小麦上来。在2019年新的调控背景下,小麦市场政策市的特征能否继续占据主导,托市收购能否大范围启动,新小麦的最终产量和品质以及面粉加工业的“洗牌”整合进程,都将成为决定小麦市场走势的主要影响因素。

Prospect of Domestic Wheat Market in 2019

In 2019, the domestic wheat market showed a weaker and lower trend due to the overall easing of supply and demand,the lack of policy regulation, and the optimistic production situation, etc. With the approach of new wheat harvest in the second half of the year, the wheat market would also usher in a new development pattern, the focus of market had shifted to the new season. In the context of new regulation and control in 2019, whether the characteristics of the wheat market policy city could dominate continuously, whether the market acquisition could be activated in a large scale, the final output and quality of new wheat and the “shuffle” integration process of the flour processing industry would become the main influencing factor in determining the trend of wheat market.