| 气象因子对水稻纹枯病的预测模型研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 孙,朴,胥德梅.气象因子对水稻纹枯病的预测模型研究[J].安徽农业科学,2013(23):9873-9874. |
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| 作者姓名： | 孙 朴 胥德梅 |
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| 作者单位： | [1]四川省喜德县气象局防雷中心,四川喜德616750 [2]四川省凉山州气象局农气中心,四川西昌615000 |
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| 摘 要： | 以6月至8月上中旬的平均气温、降雨量为气象因子,建立了喜德县水稻纹枯病流行程度预测模型.结果表明,喜德县水稻纹枯病发生级别与相关因子6月份降水量、8月上中旬平均气温、7月份降水量、8月上中旬降水量呈正相关且相关性较好,与6月份平均气温、7月份平均气温呈正相关但相关性一般;该模型的平均吻合度达99.274％.
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| 关 键 词： | 气象因子 水稻纹枯病 预测模型 |
Prediction Model of Meteorological Factors on Rice Sheath Blight |
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| Institution: | SUN Pu et al ( Lightning Protection Center of Xide Meteorology Bureau, Xide, Sichuan 616750) |
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| Abstract: | With average temperature and precipitation during Jun. -Aug. as meteorological factor, the prediction model of prevalence degree of rice sheath blight in Xide County was established. The results showed that the occurrence level has a good positive correlation with Jun. pre- cipitation, average temperature in Aug. , Ju. precipitation, Aug. precipitation, and has a general positive correlation with Jun. average tem- perature and Jul. average temperature; The average agreement is up to 99. 274%. |
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| Keywords: | Meteorological factors Rice sheath blight Prediction model |
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