| 大连沿海冬季表层低水温的趋势预报方法研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 袁开朗 崔树勋. 大连沿海冬季表层低水温的趋势预报方法研究[J]. 大连水产学院学报, 1997, 12(1): 21-26 |
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| 作者姓名： | 袁开朗 崔树勋 |
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| 作者单位： | [1]大连市海洋气象科研所 [2]大连水产学院 |
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| 摘 要： | 运用谱分析方法研究了大连沿海冬季表层水温自身变化规律以及它同厄尔尼诺现象间的相互关系，在此基础上提出了“厄尔尼诺指数曲线积分法”。有它对大连沿海冬季表层最低水温作了趋势预报，通过回报和预报的检验，结果表明都具有较高的准确率。
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| 关 键 词： | 谱分析 厄尔尼诺现象 趋势预报 水温 |
The Study on the Low Water Temperature Tendency Prediction Method of Dalian Winter Coastal Surface Layer |
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| Yuan Kailang. The Study on the Low Water Temperature Tendency Prediction Method of Dalian Winter Coastal Surface Layer[J]. Journal of Dalian Fisheries University, 1997, 12(1): 21-26 |
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| Authors: | Yuan Kailang |
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| Affiliation: | Yuan Kailang (Dalian Marine Meteorological Science Research Institute) Cui Shuxun Sun Yufeng (Dalian Fisheries University) (Dalian Meteorological Station) |
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| Abstract: | On the basis of studying of regularity of changes of Dalian winter coastal surface layer water temperature itself and its relations with the EI nino phenomenon by means of the spectral analysis, the authors put forward an EI nino index curve integration method, and by using it they made a tendency prediction on Dalian winter coastal surface layer water temperature. It was proved to have higher accuracy through re prediction and prediction. |
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| Keywords: | spectral analysis EI nino phenomenon tendency prediction |
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