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概念性水文模型对气候及覆被变化的敏感性研究
引用本文:刘青娥,陈晓宏,鲁帆. 概念性水文模型对气候及覆被变化的敏感性研究[J]. 灌溉排水学报, 2009, 28(3)
作者姓名:刘青娥  陈晓宏  鲁帆
作者单位:刘青娥,LIU Qing-e(中山大学水资源与环境研究中心,广州510275;广东水利电力职业技术学院水利系,广州510635);陈晓宏,CHEN Xiao-hong(中山大学水资源与环境研究中心,广州,510275);鲁帆,LU Fan(中国水利水电科学研究院水资源研究所,北京,100044)  
摘    要:探讨了概念性水文模型TOPMODEL模型参数对地表覆被与气候条件变化的敏感性差异。选用覆被基本无变化而气候变化显著的年份进行模拟,研究模型对气候条件的敏感性;通过对气候条件相似而地表覆被变化较大的年份模拟情况进行比较,分析模型对地表覆被的敏感性。结果表明,模型本身对地表覆被条件的敏感性远大于气候条件。给运用TOPMODEL模型虚拟地表覆被变化情况下的水文循环提供了论证。

关 键 词:TOPMODEL  水文模型  参数敏感性

Sensitivity Analysis of Conceptual Hydrological Model
LIU Qing-e,CHEN Xiao-hong,LU Fan. Sensitivity Analysis of Conceptual Hydrological Model[J]. Journal of Irrigation and Drainage, 2009, 28(3)
Authors:LIU Qing-e  CHEN Xiao-hong  LU Fan
Affiliation:1.Center for Water Resource and Environment;Sun Yat-sen University;Guangzhou 510275;China;2.Guangdong Technical College of Water Resource and Electric Engineering;Guangzhou 510635;3.China Institute of Water Resource and Hydropower Research;Beijing 100044;China
Abstract:The aim is to research the sensitivity analysis of a Conceptual hydrological model TOPMODEL to climate change and the land-use and land-cover change.The impact of climate change to TOPMODEL parameter is studied by simulating the hydrological circle under the similar land-use and land-cover but very different climate conditions.On the other way,the impact of the land-use and land-cover change to TOPMODEL parameter is studied by simulating the hydrological circle under the similar climate but different land-u...
Keywords:TOPMODEL
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